Guoxin Securities·2025-06-18 11:41Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive industry [1][5][7]. Core Viewpoints - The automotive industry is transitioning into a technological era, with significant advancements in electrification, intelligence, and connectivity, leading to structural development opportunities [14][15]. - The report emphasizes the rise of domestic brands and the opportunities in incremental components driven by electric and intelligent trends [10][26]. - The expected annual growth rate for the domestic automotive market is projected to be around 2% over the next 20 years, with a strong focus on new energy vehicles [15][24]. Monthly Production and Sales Data - In May, automotive production and sales reached 2.649 million and 2.686 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 11.6% and 11.2% [1]. - New energy vehicles accounted for 48.7% of total new car sales, with production and sales of 1.27 million and 1.307 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35% and 36.9% [1][23]. Weekly Market Performance - For the week of June 9-13, the CS automotive index fell by 0.66%, while the CS passenger vehicle index rose by 0.33% [2]. - The report notes that the automotive sector underperformed compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.41 percentage points [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic brands such as Leap Motor, Xpeng Motors, Geely, and Yutong Bus, as well as companies involved in intelligent components like Coboda and Huayang Group [3][10]. - It highlights the potential of new energy vehicles and the expected growth in sales, projecting over 1.5 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of over 20% [26][30]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Leap Motor, Geely, and Xpeng Motors are highlighted with "Outperform" ratings, with projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 showing significant growth potential [5][10]. - The report provides detailed earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for the automotive sector [5][10].