ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-06-18 12:59Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [3]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in telecommunications, achieving over 1 trillion yuan in revenue for the first time in 2023, and is expected to maintain steady growth through traditional and emerging business sectors [5][10]. - The company has a strong focus on high dividends and share buybacks, with a projected cash dividend exceeding 100 billion yuan in 2024 and a payout ratio of 72.82% [6][23]. - The report highlights the company's strategic shift towards AI and digital transformation, particularly in the enterprise market, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth [4][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the largest telecommunications service provider globally, with a customer base of 1.004 billion mobile users as of December 2024 [5][10]. - It operates across four main business segments: personal, family, enterprise, and emerging markets, with a focus on digital services and cloud computing [12][34]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 1,009.31 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.69% [3][23]. - Net profit for the same period was 131.77 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.03% [3][23]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to grow from 6.10 yuan in 2023 to 6.67 yuan in 2025 [3]. Business Segments - Personal Market: The company is enhancing its 5G penetration, with a projected 5G mobile user base of 1.014 billion by 2024, aiming to stabilize average revenue per user (ARPU) [4][36]. - Family Market: Growth is driven by increased penetration of gigabit broadband and smart home services, with a focus on enhancing customer experience [4][34]. - Enterprise Market: The company is transitioning towards AI and DICT services, with cloud revenue expected to exceed 100 billion yuan in 2024, growing at a rate of 20.4% [4][34]. - Emerging Markets: The digital content and international business segments are key growth drivers, with digital content revenue projected to grow from 16.8 billion yuan in 2021 to 30.3 billion yuan in 2024 [6][34]. Dividend Policy - The company has consistently increased its dividend payout ratio, with expectations to exceed 75% in the next three years [6][23]. - The dividend yield for the A-shares is projected at 3.95%, which remains competitive compared to the ten-year government bond yield [6][23].