Report Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core View - The report presents basic data such as the ChinaBond Composite Index (254.4), ChinaBond Long/Medium and Short - term Index (245.4/209.1), 10 - year bank - interbank treasury bond yield (1.65), and enterprise/company/convertible bond scales (70.2/23.7/6.9 trillion) [4]. Summary by Category Government Debt Financing - Total Government Debt: The net financing of government bonds was 2190 billion yuan in the 24th week (6/9 - 6/15) and 2594 billion yuan in the 25th week (6/16 - 6/22). As of the 24th week, the cumulative net financing was 6.8 trillion yuan, exceeding the same period last year by 3.6 trillion yuan, mainly due to the rapid issuance of special bonds for replacing hidden debts and treasury bonds [7]. - Treasury Bonds: The net financing of treasury bonds was 2621 billion yuan in the 24th week and 1351 billion yuan in the 25th week. The annual net financing of treasury bonds is 6.66 trillion yuan. As of the 24th week, the cumulative net financing was 3.1 trillion yuan, with a progress of 47.1%, exceeding the same period in the past five years [8]. - Local Bonds: The net financing of local bonds was - 430 billion yuan in the 24th week and 1243 billion yuan in the 25th week. As of the 24th week, the cumulative net financing was 3.7 trillion yuan, exceeding the same period last year by 2.1 trillion yuan [10]. - New General Bonds: The issuance of new general bonds was 13 billion yuan in the 24th week and 272 billion yuan in the 25th week. In 2025, the local deficit is 8000 billion yuan. As of the 24th week, the cumulative issuance was 3610 billion yuan, with a progress of 45.1%, exceeding the same period last year [10]. - New Special Bonds: The issuance of new special bonds was 71 billion yuan in the 24th week and 425 billion yuan in the 25th week. In 2025, the planned issuance of new special bonds is 4.4 trillion yuan. As of the 24th week, the cumulative issuance was 1.6 trillion yuan, with a progress of 37.5%, exceeding the same period last year. Special new special bonds of 3196 billion yuan and land reserve special bonds of 1699 billion yuan have been issued [14]. - Special Refinancing Bonds: The issuance of special refinancing bonds was 267 billion yuan in the 24th week and 527 billion yuan in the 25th week. As of the 24th week, the cumulative issuance was 1.7 trillion yuan, with an issuance progress of 84% [28]. - Urban Investment Bonds: The net financing of urban investment bonds was - 6 billion yuan in the 24th week and is expected to be - 383 billion yuan in the 25th week. As of this week, the balance of urban investment bonds is approximately 10.4 trillion yuan [30]. Other Data - General Deficit: As of the 24th week (6/9 - 6/15), the cumulative general deficit was 5.1 trillion yuan, with a progress of 43.4%, exceeding the same period last year [7]. - Project Coverage of Special New Special Bonds: According to Enterprise Early - Warning System statistics, the cumulative number of idle land parcels covered by the disclosed acquisition of existing idle land projects is 4176, and the capital scale (including proposed) is approximately 4564 billion yuan [14].
政府债务周度观察:土地储备专项债已发行近1700亿-20250619
Guoxin Securities·2025-06-19 01:36