宝城期货原油早报-20250619

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The crude oil 2508 contract is expected to operate strongly in the short - term with a bullish trend, be volatile in the medium - term, and show a slightly bullish volatile trend intraday, mainly supported by geopolitical factors [1][5] 3. Summary by Relevant Content Price and Trend - The short - term view of crude oil 2508 is a rising trend, the medium - term view is volatile, and the intraday view is slightly bullish volatile, with a reference view of strong operation [1] - On Wednesday night, domestic and international crude oil futures prices rose again. The domestic crude oil futures 2508 contract closed up 3.52% at 564.3 yuan per barrel. It is expected to maintain a slightly bullish volatile trend on Thursday [5] Driving Logic - Since this week, the conflict between Iran and Israel has continued to escalate. Missile attacks on energy facilities have increased the premium of energy - chemical commodities. The presence of the US double - aircraft carrier fleet and military assistance from countries like the UK, France, and Germany have increased the risk of further conflict expansion [5] - Merchant ships and oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz have experienced more frequent electronic interference, with one oil tanker colliding with another near the Strait. This has not only potentially disrupted crude oil transportation but also expanded the premium space due to increased geopolitical risks [5]