Workflow
银行5月金融数据点评:政府债支撑社融同比多增
Bank of China Securities·2025-06-19 07:55

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1][25]. Core Insights - The report highlights that government bonds are supporting the increase in social financing, with a notable year-on-year increase in social financing of 22.47 billion yuan in May [2][3]. - The report suggests focusing on the investment value of bank stocks, particularly recommending China Merchants Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Jiangsu Bank [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Data Overview - In May, the total new RMB loans amounted to 620 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 330 billion yuan. The increase in short-term loans for enterprises improved, while medium to long-term loans still require improvement [2][4]. - The social financing increment for May was 2.29 trillion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 224.7 billion yuan, primarily driven by government bonds [2][3]. Government Bonds and Corporate Financing - The net financing of government bonds in May reached 1.46 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 231.9 billion yuan. Direct financing for enterprises increased by 164.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125.2 billion yuan [3]. - The report indicates that the demand for medium to long-term credit from enterprises remains insufficient, with a total of 5.3 trillion yuan in new loans for enterprises in May, a year-on-year decrease of 210 billion yuan [4]. Monetary Supply Trends - The M2 growth rate was 7.9%, while M1 growth rate was 2.3%, showing a slight decrease in M2 and an increase in M1 compared to the previous month [5]. - In May, the total RMB deposits increased by 2.18 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 500 billion yuan, with a notable increase in fiscal deposits [5].