Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Coke: On June 19, the main coke contract closed at 1374 yuan/ton, with an intraday decline of 0.11%. The position of the main contract was 50,300 lots, a decrease of 1,539 lots from the previous trading day. The latest quoted price of quasi - first - grade coke at Rizhao Port was 1,270 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous week, with a futures warehouse receipt cost of about 1,401 yuan/ton. As positive factors accumulate, the previously pessimistic market sentiment has changed, and some short positions have taken profits and left the market. The market is expected to be in a stalemate in June, and coke futures may continue to fluctuate widely [5][33]. - Coking Coal: On June 19, the main coking coal contract closed at 790.5 points, down 0.13% intraday. The position of the main contract was 536,100 lots, a decrease of 13,631 lots from the previous trading day. The latest price of Mongolian coking coal at Ganqimaodu Port was 865 yuan/ton, down 2.8% week - on - week, with a futures warehouse receipt cost of about 834 yuan/ton. During the safety month, domestic coking coal production has shrunk, and the price inversion of imported coal has also restricted imports. However, the long - term oversupply pattern has not been completely reversed, and there is still insufficient driving force for a significant increase in coal prices. Coking coal is expected to fluctuate widely at a low level in the near future [6][34]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - Crude Steel Production: In May 2025, China's crude steel production was 86.545 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 6.9%. From January to May, the cumulative crude steel production was 431.631 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7%. From January to May 2025, Hebei ranked first with a production of 92.8269 million tons, followed by Jiangsu with 52.49 million tons and Shandong with 30.3332 million tons [8]. - Coking Coal Price in Jinzhong: On June 19, the coking coal price in Jinzhong market remained stable, with the ex - factory price of medium - sulfur main coking coal being 940 yuan/ton [9]. 3.2 Spot Market - Coke: The quasi - first - grade coke at Rizhao Port was priced at 1,270 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous week, down 5.22% from the end of last month, 24.85% from the end of last year, and 36.18% from the same period. The quasi - first - grade coke at Qingdao Port was priced at 1,170 yuan/ton, down 0.85% from the previous week, 4.10% from the end of last month, 27.78% from the end of last year, and 40.61% from the same period [10]. - Coking Coal: The Mongolian coking coal at Ganqimaodu Port was priced at 865 yuan/ton, down 2.81% from the previous week, 5.98% from the end of last month, 26.69% from the end of last year, and 45.94% from the same period. The Australian - produced coking coal at Jingtang Port was priced at 1,210 yuan/ton, up 0.83% from the previous week, down 4.72% from the end of last month, 18.79% from the end of last year, and 43.46% from the same period. The Shanxi - produced coking coal at Jingtang Port was priced at 1,250 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous week, down 3.10% from the end of last month, 18.30% from the end of last year, and 39.02% from the same period [10]. 3.3 Futures Market - Coke: The main coke contract closed at 1,374 yuan/ton, down 0.11%, with a trading volume of 22,325 lots, a decrease of 4,342 lots, and a position of 50,347 lots, a decrease of 1,539 lots [14]. - Coking Coal: The main coking coal contract closed at 790.5 points, down 0.13%, with a trading volume of 780,917 lots, a decrease of 53,292 lots, and a position of 536,104 lots, a decrease of 13,631 lots [14]. 3.4 Related Charts - Coke Inventory: Charts show the inventory of 230 independent coking plants, 247 steel mill coking plants, port coke, and total coke inventory from 2019 - 2025 [15][16][18]. - Coking Coal Inventory: Charts show the inventory of mine - mouth coking coal, port coking coal, 247 sample steel mills, and all - sample independent coking plants from 2019 - 2025 [21][24][26]. - Other Charts: Include Shanghai terminal wire rod procurement volume, domestic steel mill production, coal washing plant production, and coking plant operation [28][30][32]. 3.5 Market Outlook - Coke: The market is expected to be in a stalemate in June, and coke futures may continue to fluctuate widely [5][33]. - Coking Coal: Coking coal is expected to fluctuate widely at a low level in the near future, and attention should be paid to supply and geopolitical developments [6][34].
煤焦日报：多空因素交织，煤焦低位震荡-20250619
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2025-06-19 09:24