冠通期货早盘速递-20250619

1. Fed Interest Rate Decision - The Fed maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% in its June rate decision, staying on hold for the fourth consecutive meeting, in line with market expectations [1]. - The Fed indicated that the uncertainty about the outlook has diminished but remains at a high level, lowered the 2025 GDP forecast to 1.4%, and raised the inflation forecast to 3% [1]. - The Fed's dot - plot shows two 25 - basis - point rate cuts in 2025, consistent with March expectations, but only a 25 - basis - point cut in 2026, down from the previous forecast of 50 basis points [1]. 2. US President's Statement on Iran - Israel Conflict - US President Trump stated that the US is seeking a "complete victory," meaning "Iran without nuclear weapons," and that "an agreement is still possible" [1]. - Trump has not decided whether to take military action against Iran and mentioned that Iran wants to negotiate and is willing to come to the White House [1]. 3. Expansion of Qualified Foreign Investors' Participation - Starting from the trading on June 20 (the night session on June 19), qualified foreign investors can participate in glass, soda ash, ferrosilicon, ethylene glycol, liquefied petroleum gas, natural rubber, lead, and tin futures and options contracts [1]. - From October 9, qualified foreign investors will be allowed to participate in on - exchange ETF options trading for hedging purposes to promote long - term investment in A - shares [2]. 4. Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange Policy Adjustments - Starting from the settlement on June 20, the trading margin standard for jujube futures contracts will be adjusted to 9%, and the daily price limit will be adjusted to 8% [2]. - Starting from the night session on June 19, the minimum order quantity for rapeseed meal futures contracts 2507, 2508, 2509, 2511, and 2601 will be adjusted to 4 lots [2]. 5. Key Commodities to Watch - The report highlights urea, crude oil, PP, coking coal, and rebar [3]. 6. Night - session Performance of Commodity Futures - The night - session performance of commodity futures includes information on price changes and position - increasing ratios [3]. 7. Sector Performance - Different commodity sectors have varying performance, with precious metals at 29.95%, non - metallic building materials at 2.55%, etc. [6]. 8. Performance of Major Asset Classes - Different asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and others have different daily, monthly, and yearly price changes. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index has a daily change of 0.04%, a monthly change of 1.23%, and a yearly change of 1.11% [8][9].