Tianfeng Securities·2025-06-20 02:06Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintain Rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - The geopolitical situation is increasingly complex, with conflicts such as the Ukraine crisis and the Israel-Iran conflict contributing to global instability. This environment suggests a growing demand for military trade, which is expected to open up new opportunities for the defense industry [4][6]. - Advanced fighter jets like the J-10CE and J-35 are anticipated to become strategic cornerstones for China's military trade, significantly impacting the long-term development of the military industry [4]. - The military trade sector is likely to experience a transformation from "single equipment" procurement to "systematic equipment" procurement, enhancing the overall value of military contracts [5]. Summary by Sections Military Trade Demand and Supply - According to SIPRI, from 2020 to 2024, the top five military trade importers are Ukraine (8.8%), India (8.3%), Qatar (6.8%), Saudi Arabia (6.8%), and Pakistan (4.6%). A total of 25 countries have an import share of 1% or more [4]. - The top five military trade exporters are the United States (43%), France (9.6%), Russia (7.8%), China (5.9%), and Germany (5.6%), with China ranking fourth globally, indicating strong competitiveness [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on four main investment lines within the military trade sector: 1. Radar: Companies like Aerospace South Lake and Guorui Technology 2. Main Platforms: Companies such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Hongdu Aviation Industry Group, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, and Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group 3. Unmanned Systems: Companies like Aerospace Electronics, Zhongyun Drone, Aerospace Rainbow, and Zongheng Co. 4. Guided Equipment and Others: Companies including Great Wall Industry Corporation, Guangdong Hongda, Zhongtian Rocket, and others [6].