BAOWU MAGNESIUM(SZ:002182) Minmetals Securities·2025-06-20 11:09Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Baowu Magnesium Industry [3][45]. Core Viewpoints - The improvement in the corrosion resistance of magnesium alloys is crucial for their application in the automotive sector, with a potential market growth of 5 times due to enhanced economic viability as magnesium prices decline [1][2]. - Baowu Magnesium has launched corrosion-resistant magnesium alloy components, indicating progress in applications requiring high corrosion resistance, such as electric motor housings [1][26]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in the magnesium alloy manufacturing sector, with significant reserves and production capacities planned for the future [1][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Magnesium Alloy Corrosion Resistance - Enhancing corrosion resistance is key to unlocking the market for automotive magnesium alloy components [10]. - Magnesium alloys have shown better weight reduction compared to aluminum alloys, making them economically viable as magnesium prices have decreased [12][13]. - The current application of magnesium alloys in vehicles is limited, with potential usage significantly higher than current levels [18][19]. 2. Baowu Magnesium's Capabilities - Baowu Magnesium has successfully developed a magnesium alloy electric drive assembly that meets industry corrosion resistance requirements [26]. - The company has invested in R&D and established various innovation platforms to enhance product development [28]. 3. Industry Layout and Production Capacity - Baowu Magnesium has a well-structured layout in magnesium resources, production, and customer development, ensuring a competitive edge in the market [29]. - The company holds substantial magnesium ore reserves, with a total of 175,359.38 million tons available for extraction [32]. - Planned production capacities include 50,000 tons of raw magnesium and 60,000 tons of magnesium alloys by the end of 2024 [34][41]. 4. Profitability and Valuation Forecast - The forecasted EPS for Baowu Magnesium for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.241, 0.374, and 0.606 respectively, with dynamic PE ratios indicating a favorable investment outlook [2][45]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the automotive magnesium alloy market due to improvements in corrosion resistance [45].