Tianfeng Securities·2025-06-22 04:57Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.51 CNY, based on a 17x PE for 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in wind turbine manufacturing and wind farm operations, with a dual-driven business model. It has maintained the largest market share in China for 14 consecutive years and ranks first globally for three years [1][13]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturing is expected to improve, with a recovery in margins anticipated in 2024 and a potential turnaround to profitability in 2025 [2][43]. - The company has a strong position in both domestic and international markets, with significant growth in wind turbine exports and a leading position in offshore wind projects [2][32][59]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company was established in 2001 and has become a leading provider of wind power solutions, with three main business segments: wind turbine manufacturing, wind power services, and wind farm investment and development [1][13]. 2. Wind Turbine Manufacturing - The domestic wind turbine market is stabilizing, with prices recovering from historical lows. The average bidding price for wind turbines has increased from around 1400 CNY/kW in August 2024 to 1590 CNY/kW by March 2025 [34][35]. - The company is expected to see a significant increase in export capacity, with a projected 2.5 GW of new shipments in 2024, marking a 45% year-on-year growth [2][32]. 3. Wind Farm Operations - The company has developed a stable "rolling development" model for wind farms, with a self-operated capacity of 8.0 GW and an additional 4.1 GW under construction as of March 2025 [3]. - The profitability of wind farm operations is expected to remain strong, supported by favorable market conditions and stable pricing mechanisms [3]. 4. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit, projecting 3.36 billion CNY in 2025, representing an 80.5% year-on-year growth [4]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 56.7 billion CNY in 2024 to 79.2 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a 39.73% increase [4]. 5. Market Dynamics - The global wind power market is expected to see substantial growth, particularly in offshore wind projects in Europe and onshore projects in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [29]. - The competitive landscape is shifting towards value competition rather than price wars, with major players focusing on technology and service quality [34].