行业周报：房地产市场边际改善，关注建材投资机会-20250622

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The real estate market is showing marginal improvement, with a continued loose policy from both central and local governments. In May, the overall real estate market remained stable, with some indicators showing marginal improvement. Housing prices are experiencing a complex trend of "month-on-month decline, year-on-year decline narrowing." Data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates that the sales prices of commercial and second-hand residential properties in various cities are declining month-on-month but showing a narrowing year-on-year decline. First-tier cities have relatively stable housing prices, with the lowest year-on-year decline in both commercial and second-hand residential prices. The inventory of real estate is slowly decreasing, particularly in first-tier and core second-tier cities, indicating a potential balance in supply and demand in the real estate market [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials index fell by 1.42% in the week from June 16 to June 20, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.97 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index has decreased by 2.18%, while the building materials index has dropped by 6.84%, underperforming by 4.66 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index has risen by 10.04%, while the building materials index has only increased by 1.99%, underperforming by 8.05 percentage points [4][13][19]. Cement Sector - As of June 20, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 296.97 yuan/ton, a month-on-month decrease of 2.55%. The price trends varied by region, with Northeast China down by 3.01%, North China down by 0.69%, East China down by 3.93%, South China down by 4.12%, Central China down by 0.33%, Southwest China down by 5.66%, and Northwest China remaining unchanged [6][24][25]. Glass Sector - As of June 20, 2025, the spot price of float glass was 1199.00 yuan/ton, down by 19.00 yuan/ton or 1.56% month-on-month. The average price of photovoltaic glass was 125.00 yuan/weight box, down by 2.30 yuan/weight box or 1.81% month-on-month [6][72][79]. Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn is reported at 3400-4100 yuan/ton, with various other fiberglass products showing stable pricing trends. The market for non-alkali fiberglass is generally stable, with average prices holding steady across different product categories [6][15][17]. Consumer Building Materials - As of June 20, 2025, the price of crude oil was 78.40 USD/barrel, showing a week-on-week increase of 6.19%. The price of asphalt remained stable at 4290 yuan/ton, while acrylic acid was priced at 6750 yuan/ton, with a year-to-date decrease of 13.46% [6][19].