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氟化工行业周报:制冷剂商业模型逐渐定型,行情演绎不断验证,向上趋势-20250622
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-06-22 11:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The refrigerant market is experiencing an upward trend, supported by a well-defined business model and ongoing validation of industry logic [4] - The fluorochemical industry is entering a long-term prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across the entire supply chain, from raw materials like fluorite to high-end fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [20] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Market Overview - The fluorite market is under pressure, with the average market price for 97% wet fluorite at 3,387 CNY/ton as of June 6, down 3.09% week-on-week and 9.85% year-on-year [6][17] - The market is characterized by weak demand and a surplus of supply, leading to a negative feedback loop that suppresses immediate purchasing needs [17][32] 2. Refrigerant Market Trends - As of June 20, refrigerant prices are on an upward trend: R32 at 52,000 CNY/ton (+0.97% week-on-week), R125 at 45,500 CNY/ton (unchanged), R134a at 48,500 CNY/ton (unchanged), R410a at 48,500 CNY/ton (unchanged), and R22 at 35,000 CNY/ton (-2.78%) [7][18][45] - The external trade market for refrigerants shows stability, with R32 external reference price at 51,000 CNY/ton (unchanged) and R22 at 32,000 CNY/ton (unchanged) [7][18] 3. Beneficiary Companies - Recommended beneficiary companies include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhou Bang [9][20]