SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-06-22 13:43Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on companies with high earnings growth certainty and relatively high dividend support in the domestic furniture sector, as well as certain export companies with strong growth logic or overseas production capacity advantages [4][9]. Core Insights - The furniture retail sales in China saw a year-on-year increase of 25.6% in May, with a cumulative increase of 21.4% from January to May. However, the overall order situation has weakened since June, indicating a potential fatigue in demand stimulation from national subsidies [4][9]. - In the new tobacco sector, the glo hilo product launched in Japan is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the second half of 2025, supported by strong marketing resources from BAT [4][12]. - The paper packaging sector is experiencing price stability, with a focus on growth-oriented packaging companies. The report highlights the need to monitor the performance of major paper types and the overall supply pressure in the market [4][15]. - The light consumer goods and pet sectors are seeing increased online competition, with a focus on companies that demonstrate clear growth narratives and operational capabilities [4][16]. - The two-wheeler market is expected to see a rebound in the second half of the year, driven by new national standards and product launches, despite a temporary slowdown due to subsidy fund exhaustion [4][19]. Summary by Sections Furniture Sector - Domestic retail sales of furniture increased by 25.6% in May, with a cumulative increase of 21.4% from January to May. However, the order situation has weakened since June, indicating potential fatigue in demand stimulation [4][9]. - Recommended companies include Sofía, Gujia Home, Mousse, and others, focusing on those with high earnings growth certainty and dividend support [4][9]. New Tobacco - The glo hilo product launched in Japan is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the second half of 2025, with strong marketing support from BAT [4][12]. - Recommended companies include Smoore International, which is expected to benefit from the expansion of the overseas compliant market [4][12]. Paper and Packaging - The paper sector is experiencing price stability, with major paper types showing no significant improvement in orders. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring growth-oriented packaging companies [4][15]. - Recommended companies include Yutong Technology and others, focusing on those with stable operations and growth potential [4][15]. Light Consumer Goods & Pets - The light consumer goods sector is seeing increased online competition, with a focus on companies that demonstrate clear growth narratives and operational capabilities [4][16]. - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet and others, focusing on those with resilient consumer demand and growth potential [4][16]. Two-Wheeler Market - The two-wheeler market is expected to see a rebound in the second half of the year, driven by new national standards and product launches, despite a temporary slowdown due to subsidy fund exhaustion [4][19]. - Recommended companies include Yadi Holdings and others, focusing on those with strong product capabilities and market expansion potential [4][19].