Workflow
电新公用环保行业周报:持续看好风电整机、固态电池板块,关注光伏“防内卷”后续政策-20250622
EBSCN·2025-06-22 14:11

Investment Ratings - Power Equipment New Energy: Buy (Maintain) - Public Utilities: Buy (Maintain) - Environmental Protection: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - Wind Power: Document 136 reshapes the logic of new energy installations, with wind power's output curve being favorable. Sales of wind power stations are expected to recover, and profits from wind turbine manufacturing are likely to improve. Focus on wind turbine manufacturers, with Q2 performance potentially under pressure, but watch for profitability improvements in Q3 and Q4, as well as progress in sales of power stations. Recommended companies include Mingyang Smart Energy, Yunda Co., and Goldwind Technology [4] - Solid-State Batteries: Companies like Winbond Technology, Xianlead Intelligent, and Xingyun Co. have completed the delivery of core equipment for solid-state batteries, significantly catalyzing the sector. Investment in solid-state battery equipment is 400-500 million per GWh, significantly higher than traditional liquid lithium battery equipment. The demand for solid-state battery materials is expected to rise due to policy support and advancements in AI PCB concepts. Recommended companies include Honggong Technology, Naconor, Winbond Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten [4] - Photovoltaics: After the anti-involution policy in Q4 2024 and the rush for installations in Q1 2025, the photovoltaic sector's debt repayment ability did not deteriorate further. However, from May 2025, production and prices in the photovoltaic sector have declined, leading to further deterioration in debt repayment and profitability. Anticipated supply or demand-side policies may strengthen the sector. Focus on integrated companies with low PB ratios, such as Aiko Solar and Tongwei Co. [5] - Energy Storage: Recent stock price adjustments for Deye Co. are primarily due to European inventory factors affecting performance expectations. However, its valuation has entered a reasonable range, and it is still considered to have allocation value. Monitor monthly data on household storage in July and August 2025. The outlook for large-scale energy storage and commercial energy storage in Europe remains positive, with key focus on Q2-Q3 performance and order releases. Recommended companies include Haibo Technology, Sungrow Power, Goodwe, and Deye Co. [5] - Controlled Nuclear Fusion: Recent adjustments are mainly due to market style changes and fewer catalytic factors. Future focus should be on domestic experimental pile bidding and technological progress between China and the US. Controlled nuclear fusion is seen as an important thematic investment opportunity, with potential for market speculation. Recommended company is Hezhan Intelligent [5] Summary by Sections - Wind Power: New installed capacity in 2024 is expected to be approximately 75.8 GW for onshore wind, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind is expected to be about 4.0 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 40.85%. In the first four months of 2025, new installed capacity reached 19.96 GW, a year-on-year increase of 18.53% [7][8] - Public Utilities: As of June 20, 2025, the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 619 RMB/ton, a slight increase from the previous week. Imported thermal coal prices remain stable [35] - Energy Storage Projects: Recent bidding information shows multiple large-scale energy storage projects, with a total capacity of 2830 MW and 9740 MWh across various projects [34]