Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-22 14:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, indicating it is expected to outperform the overall market [4][5][52]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the pig farming sector, with expectations for a re-evaluation of pig prices due to ongoing market dynamics. It emphasizes the importance of quality pig farming enterprises and suggests focusing on the profitability of breeding support and pet food sectors [4][5]. - During the "618" shopping festival, the pet food industry showed resilience, with leading brands performing well. The report suggests that the performance of top companies may exceed expectations throughout the year [4][5]. - The report notes that pig prices have consistently outperformed market expectations since the beginning of 2025, with futures prices remaining lower than spot prices. It anticipates a slow recovery in production capacity and highlights the potential for profit realization in low-cost pig farming [4][5]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index fell by 3.1%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.5%. The top five gainers included Bangji Technology (up 24.7%) and Chenguang Biotech (up 13.4%), while the top five losers included Andeli (down 18.7%) and Zhongchong Co. (down 13.4%) [4][5][12]. Pig Farming - As of June 22, the average selling price of external three yuan pigs was 14.29 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.2%. The report indicates that the average weight of market pigs decreased to 128.28 kg, down 0.54 kg from the previous week. The report suggests that the expectations of "reducing weight, stabilizing production capacity, and limiting breeding" may lead to a re-evaluation of pig prices in the second half of the year [4][5]. Poultry Farming - The report notes a significant drop in chick prices, with the average price of white feather broiler chicks at 1.72 yuan/chick, down 29.2% week-on-week. The average price of white feather broilers remained stable at 3.52 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease of 1.7% week-on-week [4][5]. Pet Food - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the sales performance of pet food during the "618" shopping festival, with a year-on-year increase of 15% in e-commerce sales. The total sales for pet food reached 7.5 billion yuan, up from 5.5 billion yuan in the previous year, indicating a year-on-year growth of 36% [4][5]. Animal Health - The report highlights the recovery in vaccine sales, with a year-on-year increase of 23.02% in the number of veterinary vaccine batches issued in Q1 2025. It suggests that the profitability of breeding enterprises will drive the demand for vaccines and other products [4][5].