汇丰：北京考察总结_提振信心_中国房地产

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to CRL, C&D, China Jinmao, and KE Holdings, indicating a positive outlook for these companies in the real estate sector [8][9]. Core Insights - The recent property tour in Beijing suggests a return to normalcy in the market, with healthy visitation levels and a stabilized market backdrop, indicating that the effects of the recent property crisis have faded [2][4]. - Developers that have upgraded their products are experiencing solid sell-through rates of 60-80%, with a notable increase in the price ceiling for new homes, suggesting a competitive environment driven by product quality [3][4]. - There is a growing expectation for additional policy support to stabilize the market, although concerns about secondary home price weakness appear to be exaggerated [4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The property tour in Beijing reaffirmed confidence in the market, with project visits indicating a normalized backdrop and healthy visitation levels [2]. - The primary market is expected to decouple from the secondary market in terms of pricing and product quality [2]. Developer Performance - High-end developers are seeing strong sales, with C&D achieving approximately RMB 6 billion in sales at a recent project, indicating robust demand in the luxury segment [3]. - Developers are expected to benefit from a consistent flow of high-profile projects, which will help revive market sentiment [3]. Policy Expectations - There is a calibrated rise in policy expectations, with market participants anticipating support for sales momentum while being cautious of potential overstimulation by the government [4]. Stock Preferences - The report highlights CRL, C&D, China Jinmao, and KE Holdings as the best-positioned stocks to benefit from price appreciation in the new home market, with specific target prices indicating significant upside potential [5][9]. - C&D is particularly noted for attracting investor interest due to its clear pipeline of new projects [5].