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2025年5月财政数据点评:中央财政发力:扩内需,保民生

Revenue Insights - National general public budget revenue from January to May 2025 was 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%[6] - In May 2025, the monthly revenue growth rate was 0.1%, down from 1.9% in April[6] - Tax revenue for the same period was 79,156 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.6%[8] Central Government Expenditure - National general public budget expenditure from January to May 2025 was 112,953 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.2%[9] - In May 2025, the monthly expenditure growth rate was 2.6%, down from 5.8% in April[9] - Central government expenditure increased by 11% in May, while local government expenditure decreased to 0.9%[9] Government Fund Performance - Government fund budget revenue from January to May 2025 was 15,483 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.9%[17] - In May 2025, the monthly revenue growth rate was -8.1%, significantly down from 8.1% in April[17] - Government fund budget expenditure from January to May 2025 was 32,125 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16%[17] Fiscal Policy Outlook - A total of 1,620 billion yuan in central funds has been allocated in January and April to support consumption initiatives[22] - An additional 1,380 billion yuan in central funds is expected to be distributed in the third and fourth quarters[22] - The macro policy direction is expected to remain positive, with potential marginal increases in fiscal measures[22]