Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-23 04:11Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3][29]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical uncertainties are increasing the valuation of the military industry, with expectations for quarterly performance to gradually materialize, potentially triggering a reversal in stock performance [2][6]. - The military industry is expected to see a gradual increase, particularly in June, driven by external geopolitical factors and the implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan [6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the military's fundamental changes, with stable order inflows expected to translate into performance improvements starting in Q2 [6]. - Key investment opportunities are identified in precision-guided weapons, underwater capabilities, AI/robotics, and traditional aircraft supply chains [6]. Market Review - The report notes that the Shenwan Defense and Military Index fell by 2.01%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index dropped by 2.83%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.51% [3][7]. - The report provides a detailed performance analysis of individual stocks within the military sector, highlighting the top gainers and losers for the week [14][15]. Valuation Changes - The report states that the current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Sector is 74.63, placing it in the upper range historically, with significant differentiation among sub-sectors [15][21]. - The report includes a valuation table for key military industry stocks, projecting future earnings and PE ratios [22].