宏观金融数据日报-20250623

Market Data Summary Interest Rates - DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a 0.29bp increase; DR007 at 1.49 with a 5.00bp decrease; GC001 at 1.45 with a 16.50bp increase; GC007 at 1.59 with a 3.00bp increase; SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with a 0.10bp decrease; LPR 5-year at 3.50 with a 10.00bp decrease; 1-year treasury at 1.36 with a 0.99bp decrease; 5-year treasury at 1.51 with a 0.39bp decrease; 10-year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.32bp decrease; 10-year US treasury at 4.38 with no change [4] Stock Indexes - CSI 300 closed at 3847 with a 0.09% increase; SSE 50 at 2674 with a 0.31% increase; CSI 500 at 5640 with a 0.66% decrease; CSI 1000 at 6000 with a 0.80% decrease; IF current month at 3804 with a 0.2% increase; IH current month at 2637 with a 0.6% increase; IC current month at 5588 with a 0.5% decrease; IM current month with a 0.6% decrease [6] Trading Volume and Open Interest - IF trading volume was 93277 with a 20.6% decrease, open interest 213382 with a 12.2% decrease; IH trading volume 54538 with a 4.2% decrease, open interest 72451 with a 13.3% decrease; IC trading volume 95848 with a 9.5% decrease, open interest 208030 with a 8.7% decrease; IM trading volume 211961 with a 7.2% decrease, open interest 307602 with a 8.6% decrease [6] A-share Market - Last week, CSI 300 fell 0.45% to 3846.6, SSE 50 fell 0.1% to 2673.7, CSI 500 fell 1.75% to 5639.5, CSI 1000 fell 1.74% to 5999.6. Among Shenwan primary industry indexes, only banking (2.6%), communication (1.6%), and electronics (1%) rose, while textile and apparel (-5.1%), pharmaceutical biology (-4.4%), non-ferrous metals (-3.6%), social services (-3.3%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (-3.1%) led the decline. A-share daily trading volumes were 11575 billion yuan, 11524 billion yuan, 11390 billion yuan, 11920 billion yuan, 10153 billion yuan respectively, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 1422.5 billion yuan compared to the previous week. As of June 19, A-share margin trading balance was 18154.6 billion yuan, an increase of 42.1 billion yuan from the previous week [6] Futures Contracts' Premium and Discount - IF premium/discount: current month expired, next month 15.42%, current quarter 0.02%, next quarter 5.35%; IH premium/discount: current month expired, next month 19.38%, current quarter 5.88%, next quarter 3.06%; IC premium/discount: current month expired, next month 12.72%, current quarter 11.31%, next quarter 9.69%; IM premium/discount: current month expired, next month 15.16%, current quarter 14.48%, next quarter 12.85% [8] 2. Central Bank Operations - Last week, the central bank conducted 960.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with 858.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 182 billion yuan of MLF maturing. So, the net withdrawal was 79.9 billion yuan. This week, 960.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchase will mature, with 242 billion yuan, 197.3 billion yuan, 156.3 billion yuan, 203.5 billion yuan, 161.2 billion yuan maturing from Monday to Friday respectively. Also, 100 billion yuan of treasury cash fixed deposit will mature on Monday [4][5] 3. Policy and Geopolitical Situation - The central bank governor said that in the past year, the central bank adhered to a prudent monetary policy stance, implemented multiple measures from multiple dimensions such as quantity, price, and structure to support economic recovery and maintain financial market stability. The central bank also worked on improving the monetary policy framework, and the transformation is an ongoing process that will be continuously evaluated and improved [5] - The Israel-Iran conflict continues to intensify, with the US attacking three Iranian nuclear facilities on June 21. Iran confirmed the attacks, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps vowed to strike US interests in the Middle East, and the Strait of Hormuz may be closed. Due to weak domestic fundamentals, policy vacuum, and intensified overseas geopolitical disturbances, the stock index is expected to be weak and volatile in the short term. Options can be used to hedge macro risks [7]