CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2025-06-23 08:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Recommended" (maintained) [2]. Core Viewpoints - The phased allocation of funds for the vehicle trade-in program continues to support the growth of passenger car sales. Since mid-June, some regions have suspended the acceptance of vehicle trade-in subsidy applications. However, relevant national departments have stated that the policy for consumer goods trade-in remains unchanged, and the progress of subsidy fund usage is in line with expectations. A total of 162 billion yuan in central funds has been allocated in two batches in January and April 2025 to support local trade-in efforts. An additional 138 billion yuan will be allocated in the third and fourth quarters, which is expected to help maintain the growth trend in domestic passenger car sales [5][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Key industry news includes partnerships such as the collaboration between WeRide and Uber, as well as Waymo's expansion of autonomous taxi services in the San Francisco Bay Area. New vehicle models launched include the SAIC Zhiji LS7 and Leapmotor C16 [5][16]. Market Performance - The automotive sector under the Shenwan index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.10 percentage points, with the Shenwan automotive sector declining by 2.56% from June 16 to June 20, 2025. The PE ratio for the Shenwan automotive sector is 25.2 times, down from the previous week [5][35][40]. Data Tracking - In May 2025, retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.9381 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13.66% and a month-on-month increase of 10.02%. Retail sales of new energy passenger cars reached 1.021 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 26.90% and a month-on-month increase of 12.87%, achieving a retail penetration rate of 52.7% [5][42][54]. Investment Recommendations - The ample funding for the vehicle trade-in subsidy is expected to continue supporting the growth of domestic passenger car sales. The report suggests focusing on companies such as BYD, Changan Automobile, Great Wall Motors, and Geely for whole vehicle manufacturing, as well as companies like Desay SV, KOBODA, and Huayang Group for intelligent core components [5][15].