Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - The current focus on dexterous hands is due to their flexibility in operation, which is crucial for the generalization capabilities of robots. The industry is witnessing significant advancements, particularly led by Tesla, with various manufacturers following suit in dexterous hand development [2][12] - The value of dexterous hands is substantial, accounting for approximately 17% of the total cost of Tesla's Optimus second generation, indicating a vast market potential. The willingness of customers to pay is driven by the ability to solve practical problems, suggesting a premium space for functional inflation [2][20] - The market for dexterous hands is characterized by widespread participation across various segments, including the main body, dexterous hands, and components, which is expected to accelerate technological development and reduce component costs [2][21] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Dexterous hands are essential for the generalization capabilities of robots, with a focus on their perception and execution abilities. The industry is transitioning towards dexterous hand capabilities as a key area of development [5][11] - The current stage of development emphasizes the importance of dexterous hands in executing generalized tasks and using human-designed tools, with a requirement of at least 17 degrees of freedom to approach human hand functionality [11][12] Market Participation - The dexterous hand market includes a variety of participants, such as manufacturers of the main body, dexterous hand companies, and component suppliers. This diversity is expected to foster rapid technological advancements and cost reductions [21][24] - Key players in the dexterous hand segment include companies like Reiser Intelligent, Yongchuang Intelligent, and Jiangsu Leili, among others, focusing on different aspects of the dexterous hand technology [2][21] Cost Structure - The cost structure of dexterous hands is influenced by the complexity of technology and the number of components involved. The estimated BOM cost for a dexterous hand with 17 drives and 5 sensors is approximately 51,800 yuan, with the drive and transmission components accounting for 64% of the total cost [30][26] - The high value of dexterous hands is reflected in their significant cost contribution to the overall robot assembly, with potential market value reaching 170 billion yuan if production scales up [20][21] Technological Development - The current focus is on enhancing the hardware capabilities of dexterous hands, with a competitive landscape that includes both rigid and flexible transmission solutions. The industry is in a phase of "stacking materials" to improve foundational hardware capabilities [36][42] - The development trajectory of dexterous hands is expected to follow a path similar to that of autonomous driving technology, transitioning from hardware enhancement to algorithmic improvements and cost reductions over time [42][45]
机械设备灵巧手深度梳理:指尖跃动无垠星河,巧手编织璀璨经纬-20250623
Tianfeng Securities·2025-06-23 08:43