Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has significantly increased the risk premium for oil and gas, impacting prices and market dynamics [8][17] - There is a heightened focus on Iranian chemical products due to their substantial global production and export share, particularly methanol and ethylene glycol [8][17] - The report highlights that even if Iranian oil exports cease, other suppliers like OPEC+ can quickly fill the gap, but damage to Iranian chemical production facilities could have long-term effects [8][17] Price Changes - The report monitors 188 chemical products, with the top three price increases being crude oil (up 13.7%), paraxylene (up 10.5%), and WTI (up 10.4%); the largest declines were in liquid chlorine (down 60.0%), vitamin E (down 14.2%), and acrylic short fiber (down 7.9%) [14][18] - The report also notes significant changes in price spreads, with the largest increases in BDO spread (up 6955.9%), hydrogen peroxide spread (up 500.0%), and butyl acrylate spread (up 97.7%); the largest declines were in R410a spread (down 25100.0%), PTA (down 38.5%), and PTMEG spread (down 22.8%) [18][19] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies that are expected to benefit from the price increases due to the Israel-Iran conflict, including Huayi Group (600623), Baofeng Energy (600989), Satellite Chemical (002648), and Wankai New Materials (301216) [8] - It also suggests focusing on agricultural chemical companies with differentiated growth logic, such as Yangnong Chemical (600486) and Runfeng Shares (301035), as well as companies less affected by overseas fluctuations, including Guoguang Shares (002749), Hualu Hengsheng (600426), and Huamao Technology (603181) [8]