Kstopa IntelliE(SZ:300836) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-06-24 03:05Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Viewpoints - The military ammunition supply chain is expected to experience unprecedented growth opportunities, particularly in the context of the global geopolitical landscape and China's military development goals by 2027 [1][15]. - The company, Baiao Intelligent, is positioned as a key player in the ammunition supply chain, focusing on the manufacturing of smart equipment for explosive products, which are critical for military operations [1][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Baiao Intelligent specializes in the manufacturing of smart equipment for explosive products, which are essential components in the ammunition supply chain [1][3]. - The company has secured a significant order worth 819 million yuan for explosive products in 2024, indicating a breakthrough in its business operations [3][4]. Market Opportunity - The demand for explosive products is expected to surge due to increased military spending and the need for ammunition replenishment, particularly highlighted by the ongoing conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war [2][15]. - The report notes that the average daily consumption of artillery shells during peak conflict periods reached 50,000 rounds, emphasizing the urgent need for production capacity in the explosive products sector [2]. Competitive Advantages - The barriers to entry in the smart equipment manufacturing for explosive products are notably high due to the complex and hazardous nature of the production processes, which require stringent safety and precision controls [2][20]. - Baiao Intelligent's leadership team has extensive experience in engineering and a strong understanding of customer needs, enhancing the company's competitive edge [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 131 million yuan in 2025, with significant growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 250 million yuan by 2027 [4][5]. - Revenue is anticipated to grow from 466 million yuan in 2024 to 1.791 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [5][12]. Industry Trends - The report highlights a shift towards automation and smart manufacturing in the explosive products sector, driven by safety concerns and the need for efficiency [20][22]. - The "black factory" initiative aims to enhance safety and productivity by minimizing human intervention in hazardous operations, which is crucial for the explosive products industry [20][22].