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流动性打分周报:中长久期高评级城投债流动性上升-20250624
China Post Securities·2025-06-24 04:57

Group 1: Report General Information - Report Type: Fixed Income Report [1] - Release Time: June 24, 2025 [1] - Analyst: Liang Weichao, SAC Registration Number: S1340523070001 [2] - Research Assistant: Xie Peng, SAC Registration Number: S1340124010004 [2] Group 2: Core Viewpoints - In the urban investment bond market, the liquidity of medium - to long - term and high - rated bond items has increased. In the industrial bond market, the liquidity of medium - and high - rated bond items has increased [3][4][10][20] Group 3: Urban Investment Bonds Liquidity Analysis - Regionally, high - grade liquid bond items in Jiangsu increased, while those in Shandong, Sichuan, Tianjin, and Chongqing remained stable. In terms of maturity, medium - to long - term liquidity increased, and short - term liquidity decreased. By implied rating, high - grade bond item liquidity increased, and low - grade liquidity decreased [3][10] - Among the top twenty with rising liquidity scores, the main body levels are mainly AA, concentrated in regions such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, and the industries mainly involve construction decoration and comprehensive industries. Among the top twenty with falling liquidity scores, the main body levels are mainly AA, and the regional distribution is mainly in Zhejiang, Sichuan, Shandong, etc., with industries mainly in construction decoration and comprehensive industries [12] Yield Analysis - Regionally, the yields of high - grade liquid bond items in Jiangsu, Shandong, Sichuan, Tianjin, and Chongqing mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 1 - 5BP. By maturity, the yields of high - grade liquid bond items at all maturities mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 1 - 5BP. By implied rating, the yields of bond items at all implied levels mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 1 - 3BP [3][12] Group 4: Industrial Bonds Liquidity Analysis - By industry, the high - grade liquid bond items in industries such as public utilities and coal increased, while those in real estate, transportation, and steel remained stable. By maturity, the high - grade liquid bond items at all maturities increased overall. By implied rating, the high - grade liquid bond items with implied ratings of AAA and AA+ increased, while AAA+, AAA -, and AA remained stable overall [4][20] - In terms of the rising liquidity scores, the industries of the top twenty main bodies are mainly construction decoration, public utilities, and transportation, with the main body levels mainly AAA. The industries of the top twenty bonds are mainly transportation and public utilities. In terms of the falling liquidity scores, the top twenty main bodies are mainly in the construction decoration and real estate industries, with the main body levels mainly AAA and AA+. The industries of the top twenty bonds are mainly transportation and coal [25] Yield Analysis - By industry, the yields of bond items in all industries mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 1 - 3BP. By maturity, except for the 1 - 2 - year - term, the yields of bond items at other maturities mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 3 - 5BP; the yields of 1 - 2 - year - term bond items mainly increased, with the amplitude between 1 - 2BP. By implied level, the yields of all levels mainly decreased, with the amplitude concentrated between 1 - 3BP [4][23]