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物产环能(603071):煤炭贸易为基,热电联产扶摇直上

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 12.21 CNY based on the closing price on June 23, 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company operates on a dual-driven model of "coal trading + cogeneration," supported by its strategic partnerships with major coal suppliers and its focus on expanding its cogeneration assets [1][10]. - The coal trading business is expected to maintain stable revenue, while the cogeneration segment is projected to see increasing contributions to overall performance due to growing market demand [3][70]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is backed by the Zhejiang State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and has established itself as a key player in the coal supply chain, cogeneration, and renewable energy sectors [1][11]. - It has a long history in coal trading, leveraging its purchasing power and digital technologies to provide integrated services to suppliers and customers [10][14]. Financial Analysis - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 44.709 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.86%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 739 million CNY, down 30.25% [21][24]. - The coal trading segment generated revenue of 41.487 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 2.59%, while the cogeneration segment brought in 3.135 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 24.68% [24][26]. Coal Trading Business - The coal trading business serves as a crucial link between coal producers and consumers, with a focus on expanding resource channels in the northwest region of China [2][40]. - The company sold 59.58 million tons of coal in 2024, marking a 7.39% increase year-on-year, and is actively enhancing its international cooperation for coal imports [2][34]. Cogeneration Business - The cogeneration segment has established a monopoly in regional heat supply, with six cogeneration plants providing steam, electricity, and compressed air [3][52]. - The company is exploring new models for cogeneration that integrate coal, electricity, storage, and waste management, achieving significant increases in steam and electricity supply in 2024 [3][66]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see net profits of 748 million CNY in 2025, 818 million CNY in 2026, and 922 million CNY in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 1.3%, 9.4%, and 12.7% [3][4]. - The report anticipates stable performance in the coal trading sector and increasing contributions from the cogeneration business, leading to a positive outlook for the company's overall financial health [3][70].