Workflow
5月地产开竣工仍弱,期待更强政策发力
Huafu Securities·2025-06-24 06:39

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the real estate development investment in China from January to May 2025 was 3.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%. The new construction area was 230 million square meters, down 22.8% year-on-year, and the completed area was 180 million square meters, down 17.3% year-on-year. The sales area of new commercial housing was 350 million square meters, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year, with residential sales down 2.6% year-on-year. The sales amount of new commercial housing was 3.4 trillion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year, with residential sales down 2.8% year-on-year [2][12] - The report highlights that various cities are implementing policies to support the real estate market, including loan issuance for urban renewal projects and adjustments to housing policies to ease purchasing conditions. These measures are expected to enhance market expectations and stabilize the real estate sector [2][12] - In the short term, the report emphasizes the pressure for stable growth and the need for stronger policy support for the real estate market. In the medium to long term, it suggests that the opening of the interest rate reduction channel in Europe and the U.S. may provide more room for China's monetary and fiscal policies, which could further stabilize the real estate market [2][12] Summary by Sections High-Frequency Data - As of June 20, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement in China was 367.1 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.3% week-on-week, and down 3.5% year-on-year. The average price of glass (5.00mm) was 1180.0 yuan/ton, down 0.7% week-on-week, and down 28.6% year-on-year [3][21] Sector Review - The report notes that the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index dropped by 1.6%. The building materials sector index decreased by 1.42%. Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing increased by 2.23%, while cement manufacturing fell by 2.2% [4][56] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: 1. High-quality companies benefiting from stock renovation, such as Weixing New Materials, Beixin Building Materials, and Tubao [5] 2. Undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, such as Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, and Jianlang Hardware [5] 3. Leading cyclical building materials companies with bottoming fundamentals, such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, China Jushi, and Qibin Group [5]