SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-06-24 11:34Core Viewpoints - The wind power sector is viewed positively for short, medium, and long-term opportunities [3][4] - Short-term logic includes strong half-year reports and optimistic performance outlook for the second half of the year, driven by robust project initiation and revenue growth [4] - Medium-term logic highlights a reversal of three previously negative factors affecting investment sentiment in the wind power sector [4] - Long-term logic emphasizes the competitive advantages of wind power in the context of market-oriented trading and stable industry dynamics [4] Short-term Logic - The wind power sector is expected to benefit from strong performance in the first half of the year, with optimistic growth projections for Q2 [4] - The sector is experiencing a positive demonstration effect from strong stock performance of companies showing earnings improvement [4] Medium-term Logic - The three previously negative factors affecting the wind power sector have shown significant reversal: 1. Wind turbine price wars have shifted from deflation to inflation, with prices recovering since Q4 2024 [4] 2. The certainty of domestic offshore wind project advancement has significantly increased, with project approvals accelerating in 2025 [4] 3. European offshore wind demand has rebounded, with project returns improving due to supportive policies and decreasing interest rates [4] Long-term Logic - Wind power's output characteristics provide significant price advantages in a fully market-oriented trading environment [4] - The competitive landscape is expected to remain stable due to high barriers to entry and a customer base dominated by state-owned enterprises and large international energy groups [4] - There is substantial potential for export substitution across the industry chain, providing additional growth opportunities in overseas markets [4] Demand Outlook - Domestic wind power installations are projected to reach 110 GW in 2025, with significant contributions from both onshore and offshore projects [9][12] - The global wind power installation is expected to maintain a high level in 2026, supported by strong demand both domestically and internationally [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main lines of investment: complete machines, offshore wind, and components [5][45] - Key companies to watch include Goldwind Technology, Envision Energy, Mingyang Smart Energy, and SANY Heavy Energy for complete machines [5] - For offshore wind, companies like Daikin Heavy Industries and Dongfang Cable are highlighted due to their expected performance in the growing market [5] - In the components sector, companies such as Risen Energy and Jinlei Technology are expected to benefit from seasonal production increases and price adjustments [5][70] Competitive Landscape - The wind power industry is characterized by a stable competitive structure, with limited new entrants due to high barriers and established market players [73] - The market share of leading companies has remained relatively stable, indicating a strong competitive position among top players [73][74]