宏观金融数据日报-20250625
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-06-25 04:21
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Views - In the bond market, the central bank conducted 4065 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 1973 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing. On June 25, it will conduct 3000 billion yuan of 1 - year MLF operations. The central bank adheres to a supportive monetary policy stance, and the transformation of the monetary policy framework is a continuous process [4]. - In the stock index market, due to the easing of the geopolitical conflict between Iran and Israel and the expectation of expanded market liquidity, the stock index rose with heavy volume yesterday, and the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the previous high of 3417. In the short term, the market liquidity is acceptable, and with the alleviation of macro - negatives, the stock index is expected to run strongly [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Bond Market - Price and Change: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a 0.04 bp change, DR007 at 1.67 with a 16.09 bp change, GC001 at 1.60 with a 7.50 bp change, GC007 at 1.90 with a 12.00 bp change, SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.36 with a 0.71 bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.52 with a 0.97 bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.65 with a 0.80 bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.34 with a - 4.00 bp change [4]. - Market Operation: This week, there are 9603 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open market, with 1563 billion, 2035 billion, and 1612 billion yuan maturing from Wednesday to Friday respectively. The central bank governor said that the central bank has introduced multiple monetary policy measures in the past year [4]. Stock Index Market - Index Price and Change: At yesterday's close, the CSI 300 rose 1.2% to 3904, the SSE 50 rose 1.16% to 2715.9, the CSI 500 rose 1.62% to 5765.8, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.92% to 6194.7. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 14146 billion yuan, a significant increase of 2920 billion yuan from the previous day [5]. - Sector Performance: Most industry sectors rose. The motor, battery, auto parts, game, and packaging materials sectors led the gains, while the mining, petroleum, gas, shipping port, and precious metals sectors led the losses [5]. - Contract Information: The trading volume and open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts all increased. The IF contract had a trading volume increase of 22.6% and an open interest increase of 4.3%, the IH contract had a trading volume increase of 14.9% and an open interest increase of 3.2%, the IC contract had a trading volume increase of 23.3% and an open interest increase of 3.1%, and the IM contract had a trading volume increase of 16.6% and an open interest increase of 1.6%. The IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts also have different levels of premium and discount rates [5]. - Market Driver: The rapid reversal of the Iran - Israel situation and the expectation of interest rate cuts in the US led to the rise of the stock index with heavy volume. The Shanghai Composite Index broke through the previous high [5].