Hoshine Silicon(SH:603260) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-06-25 09:53Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - Supply of industrial silicon will remain loose as southwest region's electricity prices are expected to drop further, leading to potential restarts of large and some small - medium enterprises, and Xinjiang's Ili region will continue electricity subsidies [2]. - Demand from the three major downstream industries for industrial silicon is showing a slowdown trend. Organic silicon may see a slight increase in production next week, which is positive for demand; however, the polysilicon industry is in a reduced - load operation state, and the aluminum alloy industry is in passive de - stocking, both having a negative impact on demand [2]. - For mid - to long - term operations, a high - selling strategy is recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 7,555 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 70 yuan/ton; the main contract's open interest is 306,644 lots, up 13,217 lots [2]. - The net position of the top 20 is - 48,542 lots, a decrease of 347 lots; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's warehouse receipts are 53,570 lots, down 614 lots [2]. - The price spread between the July - August contracts is 15 yuan/ton, an increase of 5 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of oxygen - blown 553 silicon is 8,150 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of 421 silicon is 8,700 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The basis of the Si main contract is 595 yuan/ton, a decrease of 70 yuan/ton; the DMC spot price is 10,560 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of silica is 410 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of petroleum coke is 1,610 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of clean coal is 1,850 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of wood chips is 540 yuan/ton [2]. - The ex - factory price of graphite electrodes (400mm) is 12,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of industrial silicon is 299,700 tons, a decrease of 36,050 tons; the weekly social inventory of industrial silicon is 559,000 tons, a decrease of 13,000 tons [2]. - The monthly import volume of industrial silicon is 52,919.65 tons, an increase of 2,211.36 tons; the monthly export volume is 71.51 tons, a decrease of 12,197.89 tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The weekly output of organic silicon DMC is 45,000 tons, an increase of 1,400 tons; the average price of aluminum alloy ADC12 in the Yangtze River spot market is 20,100 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The overseas market price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 15.75 US dollars/kg; the weekly average spot price of photovoltaic - grade polysilicon is 4.25 US dollars/kg, a decrease of 0.03 US dollars/kg [2]. - The monthly export volume of unforged aluminum alloy is 24,179.3 tons, an increase of 7,624.27 tons; the weekly operating rate of organic silicon DMC is 68.4%, an increase of 2.12 percentage points [2]. - The monthly output of aluminum alloy is 20,187,850 tons, an increase of 164,500 tons; the monthly export volume is 11.7 tons, a decrease of 337.93 tons [2]. 3.6 Industry News - Hesheng Silicon Industry's Q1 2025 report shows that its main business income is 5.228 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 3.47%; net profit attributable to the parent is 260 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 50.81%; non - recurring profit after deduction is 216 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 58.49%; the debt ratio is 62.56%, investment income is - 599,550 yuan, financial expenses are 235 million yuan, and the gross profit margin is 14.62% [2]. - The US Senate Republican leader Thune plans to vote on Trump's "Beautiful Big Bill" on Friday, which restricts new energy and affects the demand of the new energy industry [2]