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纺织服饰增持:年轻化、品牌化、智能化,驱动新成长
Shanghai Securities·2025-06-26 10:56

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of new consumption trends driven by youth, brand value, and technology, indicating a shift towards a more personalized and innovative market landscape [1][4] Section Summaries New Consumption - The rise of brand value is crucial in tapping into the young consumer demographic, which is becoming increasingly influential in the market [4][5] Gold Consumption - Gold consumption is showing significant structural differentiation, with rising demand for gold as a safe-haven asset driving prices higher. The introduction of traditional gold and small-weight gold items is leading the new trend [5][10] - Young consumers aged 18 to 34 account for over one-third of gold jewelry sales, prompting brands to innovate in design and product offerings to cater to this demographic [10] Trendy Toys Consumption - The trendy toy market is supported by three main drivers: the rising purchasing power of Generation Z, accelerated IP commercialization, and technological innovation. The market is expected to reach 110.1 billion yuan by 2026, with a CAGR of 33% from 2015 to 2021 [11][14] - The "Guzi economy," which refers to merchandise derived from various IPs, is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size of 168.9 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 40.63% year-on-year increase [14] Outdoor Consumption - The outdoor sports market is expanding rapidly, with retail sales projected to reach 271.1 billion yuan in 2023. The penetration rate of outdoor activities in China is still low compared to over 50% in other countries, indicating significant growth potential [20] - Key trends include the rise of "light outdoor" products, increased popularity of trail running, and a growing interest in cycling and pet-friendly outdoor activities [20] Technology Consumption - The integration of AI in consumer products is transitioning from exploration to large-scale commercialization, with humanoid robots and smart home devices becoming core growth areas. The report anticipates that 2025 will mark a significant year for humanoid robot production [25] - The development of smart home technology is evolving from individual products to comprehensive ecosystem solutions, enhancing consumer experience and engagement [25]