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天新药业(603235):维生素B1和B6价格高位坚挺,建议关注天新药业

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The prices of the main products, Vitamin B1 and B6, remain strong, contributing to profit growth. The company is a significant supplier in the global B vitamin market, holding leading market shares in Vitamin B6 and B1, with a revenue contribution of 78% from B vitamins in 2024. The prices for Vitamin B6 and B1 have shown year-on-year increases of 43.8% and 21.04% respectively in the first half of 2025, driving rapid profit growth [8][5] - The company is expanding its product line with new projects, including Vitamin B5 and Vitamin A, which are expected to enhance its long-term growth potential. The successful launch of these new products could significantly increase the company's market presence [8] - The financial forecast has been slightly adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 921 million, 1,063 million, and 1,070 million respectively. The corresponding PE ratios are estimated at 13, 11, and 11 times. The target market value for 2025 is set at 141 billion, indicating a 21% upside potential from the current market value [8][10] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,209 million in 2024 to 2,708 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.6%. The net profit is expected to increase from 651 million in 2024 to 921 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 41.4% [7][12] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 42% in 2024 to 51.1% in 2025, while the return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 14.1% to 16.6% during the same period [7][12]