中泰国际每日晨讯-20250627

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.5% last week, closing at 23,530 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 2.0% to 5,133 points[1] - Average daily trading volume decreased by 17.6% to HKD 211.2 billion, indicating weakening market sentiment[1] - Despite a net inflow of HKD 16.2 billion from the Hong Kong Stock Connect, the overall trading activity has not increased since May[1] Sector Performance - The Information Technology Index was the only sector to rise, while Healthcare, Energy, and Materials indices fell by 7.8%, 4.4%, and 3.2% respectively[1] - The AH premium index has dropped to a near five-year low, raising concerns about the performance of new A+H IPOs[2] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, reflecting a bias towards anti-inflation measures, which may suppress Hong Kong stock valuations in the short term[2] - Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have historically led to short-term declines in both US and Hong Kong markets, but recovery is often seen within a month[3] Investment Recommendations - The Hang Seng Index is currently in a trading range of 23,000 to 23,500 points, which may provide some support as the market approaches the half-year end and June futures settlement[3] - Investors are advised to consider sectors like AI and robotics that have underperformed in June for potential opportunities[3] Industry Insights - The consumer sector is facing regulatory scrutiny, with stocks like Pop Mart (9992 HK) down 15% from historical highs[4] - The healthcare sector saw a 7.7% decline in the Hang Seng Healthcare Index, but a recent government initiative to innovate commercial health insurance may benefit high-priced innovative drugs[4]