信达国际控股港股晨报-20250627

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the China-U.S. trade negotiations, with a temporary reduction in tariffs but no long-term agreement in sight [2][6] - The Hang Seng Index is expected to face resistance at 24,700 points, reflecting a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The report indicates a stable performance from the shopping center management company, with a projected annual dividend of no less than 13.0 HKD cents over the next three years [5][9] Company-Specific Insights - The company is recognized as a leading shopping center management enterprise in the Greater Bay Area, with a stable operational background linked to a private real estate firm [5][9] - The same-store sales growth for the company's shopping centers is recorded at 8.8% for 2024 and 5-6% for the first five months of 2025, driven by strong consumer demand from Hong Kong residents [5][9] - The company's entrusted management business has shown stable performance, contributing 66.2% to total revenue and 73.9% to gross profit in 2024, despite a slight decline in gross margin [5][9] - The brand and management output business faces downward pressure, with a reduction in project numbers from 63 to 34 between 2021 and 2024, impacting revenue significantly [5][9] - The company maintains a healthy cash flow, with a net cash position of 1.37 billion RMB, which supports its dividend distribution plan [5][9] Industry Insights - The automotive sector is expected to benefit from increased domestic demand initiatives, including the continuation of trade-in subsidies [6] - The gold mining sector is influenced by geopolitical tensions, with central banks continuing to increase their gold reserves [6] - The report notes that Hong Kong's exports have increased by 15.5% year-on-year, marking 15 consecutive months of growth, driven by strong demand from Asia [10]