东海证券晨会纪要-20250627

Group 1: Insurance Industry Insights - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission has issued guidelines to prevent "involution-style dividends" and establish a dynamic management mechanism for dividend levels, aiming to enhance the sustainable operation of dividend insurance [6][7][8] - The guidelines require insurance companies to prudently determine annual dividend levels based on asset allocation characteristics and actual investment returns, avoiding arbitrary increases that disrupt market order [6][7] - The introduction of a dual-track dynamic adjustment mechanism for dividend levels is expected to improve asset allocation capabilities and risk management within insurance companies, enhancing their overall risk resistance and profitability [7][8] Group 2: Capital Market Trends - The securities sector has seen a significant increase, with the Shenwan Securities Index rising by 5.55% as of June 25, driven by strong performances from companies like Dongfang Caifu and Guosheng Jin控 [11][12] - The approval of a virtual asset trading license for Guotai Junan International has catalyzed interest in the "stablecoin" theme, indicating a supportive regulatory environment for the securities sector [12][13] - The ongoing mergers and acquisitions within the A-share brokerage sector are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive innovation, with a focus on the performance outcomes of these integrations [13][14] Group 3: Hengxuan Technology (688608) Overview - Hengxuan Technology specializes in the research, design, and sales of low-power wireless computing SoC chips, with a focus on becoming a leading domestic Bluetooth audio SoC provider [16][17] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.43% in revenue from 2020 to 2024, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 999.5 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.25% [16][17] - Hengxuan's products are widely used in smart wearable and smart home devices, and the company is positioned to benefit from the growth in the AIOT market and increasing market share [16][18] Group 4: Market Opportunities for Hengxuan Technology - The global TWS Bluetooth earphone market is projected to reach 330 million units in 2024, with Hengxuan Technology holding a 16.22% market share among major chip suppliers [17][18] - The wearable device market is expected to grow significantly, with Hengxuan's revenue from wearable devices projected to increase from 290 million yuan in 2022 to approximately 1.045 billion yuan in 2024 [18][19] - The smart speaker market is anticipated to stabilize and grow, with Hengxuan's chips supporting key functionalities in smart speakers, benefiting from the increasing demand [19][20] Group 5: Investment Recommendations for Hengxuan Technology - The company is rated "Buy" based on its advanced 6nm process technology and potential for further market penetration in AI headphones, smartwatches, and smart glasses [21] - Projected revenues for Hengxuan Technology are expected to reach 4.69 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 43.72%, and net profits projected at 839 million yuan [21]