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锂电池产业链双周报(2025、06、13-2025、06、26):5月全球锂电池产量保持快速增长-20250627
Dongguan Securities·2025-06-27 07:48

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [52]. Core Insights - The global lithium battery production in May 2025 reached 173 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 44.4%. Cumulative production from January to May 2025 was 812.74 GWh, up 62.44% year-on-year [45]. - The report highlights the ongoing rapid growth in lithium battery demand and production, with a gradual improvement in the supply-demand relationship within the industry. The profitability of the industry chain is expected to continue to improve marginally [49]. - Key companies to watch include CATL (300750), Keda Industrial (002850), Enjie (002812), Tianwei Technology (688116), and Naconor (832522) due to their strong fundamentals and market positions [49]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of June 26, 2025, the lithium battery index increased by 3.80% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.42 percentage points. Year-to-date, the lithium battery index has risen by 1.35%, also outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.06 percentage points [15][4]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - As of June 26, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was 61,600 CNY/ton, down 0.16% over the past two weeks. The price of lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) was 63,900 CNY/ton, down 3.62% [28][6]. - The price of electrolytic cobalt increased to 256,000 CNY/ton, up 9.87% over the past two weeks, while electrolytic nickel decreased to 119,900 CNY/ton, down 1.80% [29][6]. - Prices for cathode materials such as lithium iron phosphate remained stable at 30,300 CNY/ton [30]. Industry News - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing accelerated industrialization, creating structural demand for materials and equipment upgrades. Companies with technological and production advantages in solid-state battery core materials are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [49]. - The report notes that the "old-for-new" subsidy policy is effectively boosting demand in the electric vehicle market, with expectations for continued rapid growth in sales [49]. Company Announcements - Notable developments include CATL's plans for solid-state battery production and Keda Industrial's expansion into humanoid robot structural components, which may enhance overall operational efficiency [46][49].