Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-27 13:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) [2][19] Core Views - The report highlights the strong product capabilities and competitive pricing of the Xiaomi YU7 SUV and AI glasses, predicting they will create new blockbuster products [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained at RMB 483.6 billion, RMB 580.8 billion, and RMB 688.9 billion respectively, with adjusted net profits of RMB 42.7 billion, RMB 48.4 billion, and RMB 58.6 billion [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue (RMB billion): 2023: 271.0, 2024: 365.9, 2025E: 483.6, 2026E: 580.8, 2027E: 688.9 [6][10] - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue: 2023: -3%, 2024: 35%, 2025: 32%, 2026: 20%, 2027: 19% [6] - Net profit (RMB billion): 2023: 19.3, 2024: 27.3, 2025E: 42.7, 2026E: 48.4, 2027E: 58.6 [6][10] - Earnings per share (RMB/share): 2023: 0.76, 2024: 1.07, 2025E: 1.68, 2026E: 1.90, 2027E: 2.30 [6] - Price-to-earnings ratio (PE): 2025: 33, 2026: 29, 2027: 24 [6] Product Launch Insights - Xiaomi launched the YU7 SUV with over 208,900 pre-orders in the first hour, with competitive pricing and specifications compared to rivals like Xpeng G7 and Tesla Model Y [7][8] - The AI glasses feature a lightweight design and advanced technology, with various pricing tiers and capabilities that enhance user interaction and connectivity [7][9]