政策双周报：金融支持消费再升级，货政例会关注长债利率-20250628

Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The macro - economic policy aims to support consumption upgrade, with the third - batch of consumer goods trade - in funds to be issued in July, and a series of financial support measures for consumption [1][11][12] - Fiscal policy emphasizes using proactive policies, implementing incremental policies in a timely manner, and over half of the 500 billion yuan fiscal injection into large banks has been used [2][16][17] - Monetary policy conducts additional operations of repurchase agreements, focuses on non - bank leverage, and continues to pay attention to long - term bond interest rate risks [3][20][21] - Financial regulatory policies include the introduction of risk management measures for banks and restrictions on the dividend levels of insurance [4][24][25] - Real estate policies aim to optimize existing policies and promote the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market [5][29][30] - In terms of tariff policies, China and the US have further confirmed the framework details of the Geneva economic and trade talks [6][34][35] Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Macro - economic Tone - A military parade will be held on September 3rd to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People's War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti - Fascist War, showcasing new military achievements [10][15] - Six departments including the central bank jointly issued a guiding opinion on financial support for boosting and expanding consumption, with a 500 billion yuan re - loan quota for service consumption and elderly care, and promoting auto loans [11][15] - The suspension of national subsidies in some regions is temporary, and the third - batch of consumer goods trade - in funds will be issued in July, with a more balanced and sequential plan for fund use [12][15] 2. Fiscal Policy - The government will make full use of proactive fiscal policies, implement existing policies effectively, and introduce incremental policies in a timely manner [16] - The 500 billion yuan fiscal injection into large banks has been more than half used, and Bank of Communications and Bank of China have completed over - 100 billion yuan private placements [17][19] - Many local governments have disclosed the progress of using special bonds to clear arrears to enterprises, with a total of 55.6 billion yuan earmarked for "arrears clearance" and about 146.5 billion yuan including "arrears clearance" in the use of special bond funds [17][18][19] 3. Monetary Policy - The central bank carried out additional operations of 6 - month repurchase agreements, with a total net injection of 20 billion yuan in June, and continued a relatively active MLF operation at the end of the month [20][23] - At the Lujiazui Forum, the central bank governor focused on global financial governance and the supervision of non - bank institutions' leverage [20] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange will issue a new batch of QDII investment quotas [21][22] - The central bank's second - quarter monetary policy meeting suggested increasing the intensity of monetary policy regulation and continued to emphasize long - term bond interest rate risks and preventing capital idling [21][23] 4. Financial Supervision - At the Lujiazui Forum, the chairmen of the CSRC and the financial regulatory authority put forward measures such as setting up a science and technology growth layer on the STAR Market and promoting pilot projects for financial asset investment companies [24][27] - The General Administration of Financial Supervision issued the "Measures for the Market Risk Management of Commercial Banks", and a bank wealth management product participated in offline new - share subscriptions for the first time [25][27][28] - Insurance regulators prohibited the random increase of dividend levels for dividend - paying insurance products, and jointly issued an implementation plan for the high - quality development of inclusive finance in the banking and insurance industries [25][26][28] 5. Real Estate Policy - The State Council executive meeting and the central bank's monetary policy meeting emphasized promoting the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and increasing the utilization of existing commercial housing and land [29][33] - Five cities including Shenzhen and Meizhou plan to allow cross - regional housing provident fund withdrawals for home purchases by the end of the year, and Hangzhou has launched a service for direct payment of housing down - payments with provident funds [30][33] - Xi'an has implemented a policy of installment payment for land transfer fees, and Shenzhen has allowed the adjustment of a certain proportion of affordable housing to commercial housing [31][33][34] 6. Tariff Policy - China and the US have further confirmed the framework details of the Geneva economic and trade talks. China will approve the export applications of eligible controlled items according to law, and the US will cancel a series of restrictive measures against China [6][34][35]