转债周度跟踪：转债YTM创今年以来新低-20250628

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the past week, convertible bonds performed remarkably. The small - cap growth style led the rise in the equity market, and the pricing window for convertible bond rating downgrades was about to end. The Wind Information Technology, low - rated, high - priced, and small - cap convertible bond styles led the gains. The 100 - yuan premium rate continued to climb, and the overall market sentiment was high. Although the Wind Financial Convertible Bond Index adjusted significantly in a single day under the influence of the bank stock index adjustment, the adjustment range was limited compared to equities [1][4]. - It is recommended to maintain a dumbbell - shaped allocation. For large - cap blue - chip convertible bonds, the supply - demand relationship is more imbalanced. As underlying bonds like Pufa Convertible Bond mature and exit, the allocation demand for underlying varieties in the convertible bond market will further overflow. Investors are advised to focus on high - grade convertible bonds with stable long - term fundamentals and short - term operational safety. Small - cap growth convertible bonds will continue to benefit from loose liquidity and the AI+ industrial trend. Investors are advised to pay attention to opportunities in industries such as humanoid robots, AI+, and new consumption. Additionally, as the average remaining term of the entire market approaches 2 years, the willingness of convertible bonds to make downward revisions may increase overall, and investors are advised to focus on the downward revision opportunities of low - priced, high - premium convertible bonds [1][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Viewpoint and Outlook - The small - cap growth style in the equity market led the rise, and the convertible bond rating downgrade pricing window was about to end, resulting in excellent performance of convertible bonds in the past week. The Wind Information Technology, low - rated, high - priced, and small - cap convertible bond styles led the gains. The 100 - yuan premium rate continued to rise, and market sentiment was high. The Wind Financial Convertible Bond Index adjusted significantly in a single day due to the bank stock index adjustment, but the adjustment was limited compared to equities [1][4]. - A dumbbell - shaped allocation strategy is recommended. For large - cap blue - chip convertible bonds, due to the exit of some underlying bonds, the demand for underlying varieties will increase. Investors should focus on high - grade, fundamentally stable, and short - term operationally safe convertible bonds. Small - cap growth convertible bonds will benefit from liquidity and industrial trends, and investors should pay attention to industries like humanoid robots, AI+, and new consumption. Also, as the average remaining term approaches 2 years, the downward revision willingness of convertible bonds may increase, and investors should focus on low - priced, high - premium convertible bonds [1][4]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, the equity and convertible bond markets broke through key points, and market sentiment was good. Convertible bond valuations continued to rise, with the 100 - yuan premium rate reaching 31%, a single - week increase of 1.06%, and the latest quantile at the 83.90% percentile since 2017. The valuation differentiation between high - and low - rated convertible bonds was not significant, with high - rated convertible bonds performing slightly better [3][5]. - Convertible bonds rose significantly following the underlying stocks this week, and the yield to maturity dropped significantly, reaching a new low since 2025. As of the latest data, the conversion premium rate index, pure bond premium rate index, and yield to maturity were 46.58%, 29.10%, and - 3.39% respectively, with changes of - 2.49%, + 3.66%, and - 0.80% compared to last week. Their current quantile levels since 2017 were 70.10%, 46.30%, and 5.40% respectively [3][9]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Chuanheng Convertible Bond, Jinling Convertible Bond, Guansheng Convertible Bond, and Huafeng Convertible Bond announced early redemptions. Currently, there are 11 convertible bonds that have announced forced redemptions or maturity redemptions but have not been delisted, and 1 convertible bond has triggered the forced - redemption condition but has not announced it. The potential maturity or conversion balance of forced - redeemed and matured convertible bonds among those not delisted is 4.2 billion yuan [10]. - There are currently 35 convertible bonds in the redemption process, and 7 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, which should be closely monitored [15]. - Two convertible bonds announced non - redemption this week [17]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Jiangong Convertible Bond announced a downward revision to the maximum extent, and Shanshi Convertible Bond proposed a downward revision. As of the latest, 160 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 27 are restricted by net assets and cannot be revised downward, 2 have triggered the downward - revision condition but the stock price is still below the trigger price and no announcement has been made, 41 are accumulating days for downward revision, and 6 have issued board proposals for downward revision but have not held a general meeting of shareholders [18]. 3.3.3 Put Option - No convertible bonds announced put options this week. As of now, 1 convertible bond has issued a put - option report and is in the put - option process. Eight convertible bonds are accumulating days to trigger the put - option condition, among which 2 are in the downward - revision process, 5 are in the non - downward - revision period, and 1 has proposed a downward revision [21]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - Three convertible bonds announced their issuance this week. According to the latest announcements, no convertible bonds are scheduled to be listed next week. As of now, there are 6 convertible bonds in the approval - registration process, with a total issuance scale of 10.4 billion yuan, and 3 convertible bonds have passed the listing committee review, with a total issuance scale of 2.6 billion yuan [23].