Guoxin Securities·2025-06-28 13:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AIDC power equipment and grid industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The global AI computing power load is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 9.7/15.9/20.2/22.3/23.4/24.6 GW from 2025 to 2030. The demand for AIDC power equipment is projected to reach 29/48/60/67/70/74 GW during the same period, with an average annual growth rate of 20% [5][13] - The market potential for dry-type transformers, medium and low voltage switchgear, UPS, HVDC, and solid-state transformers is estimated to reach 85/341/41/380/239 billion yuan by 2030 [5][12] - The domestic data center industry is expected to see increased capital expenditure from major cloud providers, with 2025 anticipated to be a pivotal year for AIDC construction [5][18] AIDC Power Equipment Summary - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a recent overall increase, with notable gains in backup diesel power sources (+12.3%), lead-acid batteries (+6.9%), and server power supplies (+6.1%) [5] - Key companies in the transformer/switchgear segment include Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, and Eaton, while UPS/HVDC businesses include Zhongheng Electric and Keda Technology [5] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards domestic companies gaining competitive advantages in various segments, with a focus on providing comprehensive solutions [5] Grid Industry Summary - The national power engineering investment completion amount for May 2025 was 645 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1%, while the grid engineering investment completion amount was 632 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [31][32] - The second batch of bidding results for the State Grid's ultra-high voltage equipment in May 2025 showed a total bid amount of 5.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38% [57] - The grid equipment sector has shown varied performance, with distribution equipment (+5.3%) and grid automation equipment (+2.1%) leading the gains [5] Market Trends and Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on four key areas within AIDC power equipment: transformer/switchgear, UPS/HVDC, active filter APF, and server power supply [5] - For the grid sector, attention is recommended on ultra-high voltage orders and deliveries, virtual power plants, and the international expansion of power equipment [5]