GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-06-29 09:44Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [4][3] Core Views - The "136 Document" catalyzes rapid growth in new energy this year, with accelerated electricity market reforms and the southern regional market starting continuous settlement, leading to more flexible electricity pricing reflecting supply and demand changes [3][10] - The cumulative installed capacity of solar power reached 1.08 billion kilowatts by the end of May, with a year-on-year increase of 56.9%, while the share of thermal power generation capacity decreased to approximately 40% [15][67] - The southern regional electricity market officially transitioned to continuous settlement, allowing for daily trading and better reflection of supply-demand dynamics [15][10] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of the end of May, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.61 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 18.8% [15][67] - In the first five months of the year, solar power added 197.85 GW of new capacity, a year-on-year increase of 149.97%, while wind power added 46.28 GW, a year-on-year increase of 134.21% [15][67] Market Dynamics - The average daily trading volume in the southern regional electricity market is expected to reach 3.8 billion kilowatt-hours after the transition to continuous settlement [15][10] - The coal price rebounded to 620 yuan per ton, impacting the thermal power sector [11][3] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Huaneng International, Jingtou Energy, Huadian International, Sheneng Co., and Baoneng New Energy, focusing on those with flexible quarterly performance [3][7] - Emphasis on undervalued green electricity operators, particularly in Hong Kong stocks and wind power operators, such as Xintian Green Energy and Zhongmin Energy [3][7] Carbon Market - The national carbon market trading price increased by 4.83% this week, with a total trading volume of 6.68 billion tons and a cumulative trading amount of 458.99 billion yuan [52][69]