Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-06-29 10:44Group 1 - The report indicates that the railway fixed asset investment in the first five months of 2025 reached 242.1 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [4][24] - The national railway passenger volume for the first five months of 2025 was 1.863 billion trips, achieving a 7.3% increase despite a high base [4][27] - The report highlights that the demand for maintenance and replacement in the existing market is increasing, indicating significant market potential [5][39] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the railway vehicle market and the signal equipment segment are expected to benefit from the ongoing maintenance and replacement cycle [6][39] - It recommends companies such as China CRRC and Siwei Control, while suggesting to pay attention to China Communication Signal, Times Electric, Times New Materials, and Jinchuan Group [6][39] - The report notes that the demand for new train sets is stable due to the addition of new lines and the densification of existing lines [39][41] Group 3 - The report states that the railway construction investment is expected to reach 900 billion yuan for the entire year of 2025 [24][22] - It mentions that the high-speed rail operating mileage is projected to reach 2,600 kilometers in 2025 [24][22] - The report indicates that the signal system renovation market has significant potential, with 30% of urban rail signal systems already undergoing upgrades [6][62] Group 4 - The report outlines that the market for high-level maintenance of train sets is expected to peak between 2026 and 2028, as many train sets are entering their maintenance cycles [52][61] - It highlights that the demand for high-speed train sets is expected to remain stable due to the ongoing expansion of the railway network [39][41] - The report also notes that the signal system renovation costs are generally higher than those for new lines, indicating a lucrative market for signal system upgrades [66][62]