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内需延续结构分化,外需保持总量平稳
Soochow Securities·2025-06-30 02:01

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The weekly ECI supply index is at 50.12%, down 0.03 percentage points from last week, while the demand index is at 49.94%, up 0.01 percentage points[6] - The monthly ECI supply index for June is 50.16%, down 0.07 percentage points from May, and the demand index is at 49.93%, unchanged from May[7] - The ECI investment index is at 49.97%, unchanged from May, while the consumption index is at 49.75%, also unchanged from May[7] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Consumption - Passenger car retail sales have improved, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24% as of June 22, up from 20% earlier in the month[7] - Real estate sales area in 30 major cities recorded a year-on-year decline of 17.8% as of June 28, worsening from a decline of 3.3% in May[7] - The average wholesale price of pork is 20.23 yuan/kg, down 0.07 yuan/kg from the previous week[37] Group 3: External Demand and Trade - Port cargo throughput growth is at 0.8% year-on-year as of June 22, down from 4.4% in May, indicating a reduction in export disturbances due to tariffs[7] - The SCFI index for container shipping rates is at 1861.51 points, down 8.08 points from the previous week[32] Group 4: Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The ELI index is at -1.04%, down 0.02 percentage points from last week, indicating a slight decrease in liquidity[11] - The central bank's net monetary injection for the week is 106.72 billion yuan, following a reverse repurchase operation of 202.75 billion yuan[41]