碳酸锂：基本面承压叠加仓单矛盾，高波动或延续

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The report indicates that the lithium carbonate market may continue to experience high volatility due to pressure on fundamentals and contradictions in warehouse receipts [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Contracts Data: - For the 2507 contract, the closing price was 63,240, with a change of 1,660 compared to T - 1. The trading volume was 29,486, a decrease of 1,804 from T - 1, and the open interest was 25,365, down 10,916 from T - 1 [1]. - For the 2509 contract, the closing price was 63,300, up 1,800 from T - 1. The trading volume was 615,010, an increase of 228,028 from T - 1, and the open interest was 341,448, a decrease of 3,768 from T - 1 [1]. - Warehouse Receipts: The warehouse receipt volume was 21,998, a decrease of 592 from T - 1 [1]. - Basis: - The basis of spot - 2507 was - 2,090, and spot - 2509 was - 2,150 [1]. - The basis of 2507 - 2509 was - 60 [1]. - Raw Materials and Lithium Salts: - Lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was priced at 629, up 4 from T - 1 [1]. - Battery - grade lithium carbonate was priced at 61,150, up 550 from T - 1 [1]. - Industrial - grade lithium carbonate was priced at 59,550, up 550 from T - 1 [1]. - Other related lithium - salt products also showed various price changes [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 61,279 yuan/ton, up 534 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 61,150 yuan/ton, up 550 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 59,550 yuan/ton, up 550 yuan/ton [2]. - Zhongkuang Resources announced that its subsidiary Zhongkuang Lithium Industry plans to upgrade its 25,000 - ton - per - annum lithium salt production line and invest in a 30,000 - ton - per - annum high - purity lithium salt technical renovation project with a total investment of 120.74 million yuan. After the project is completed, the company will have a total annual production capacity of 71,000 tons of battery - grade lithium salts [3]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral trend, with the value ranging from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [3].