豆粕反弹、油脂震荡

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The agricultural products sector shows a mixed performance. Soybean meal rebounds from a low level, but the upward space is limited. Oils and fats fluctuate, with palm oil under pressure. Live pigs fall, sugar continues to rise, and other products also have different market trends [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Agricultural Products Sector Overview - Soybean meal rebounds from a low level due to short - covering before the USDA report, but the supply is abundant and the price is still under pressure. Oils and fats fluctuate, with palm oil affected by production growth and export slowdown. Live pigs decline due to weak demand. Sugar continues to rise supported by external market rebound and domestic consumption season [1]. 3.2 Variety Strategy Tracking 3.2.1 Soybean Meal - The 2509 contract rebounds from a low level as shorts cover before the USDA report. However, the domestic supply is abundant, and the futures price is still under pressure. Technically, it is weak, and a light - short position strategy is recommended, with support at 2942 and resistance at 2974 [2]. 3.2.2 Soybean Oil - The 2509 contract first declines and then rises, waiting for the US soybean planting report. Domestic supply is relatively loose, and the futures price is under pressure. Technically, it turns weak, and a light - short position strategy is recommended, with support at 7920 and resistance at 8012 [3]. 3.2.3 Palm Oil - The 2509 contract first declines and then rises, reducing the decline. Affected by factors such as crude oil and palm oil production and exports, the price is under pressure. Technically, it is weak, and a light - short position strategy is recommended, with support at 8256 and resistance at 8380 [6]. 3.2.4 Cotton - The 2509 contract rises and then falls as long - profit taking occurs. Although Xinjiang's supply is tight, the textile market is in a off - season, limiting the price increase. Technically, it is still strong, and a light - long position strategy on dips is recommended, with support at 13695 and resistance at 13920 [7][9]. 3.2.5 Sugar - The 2509 contract continues to rise, supported by the external market rebound and domestic consumption season. The inventory is low, and the import pressure is controllable. Technically, it is strong, and a long - position strategy on dips is recommended, with support at 5780 [10]. 3.2.6 Live Pigs - The 2509 contract drops significantly from a high level due to high inventory and weak demand. Technically, it turns weak, and long - positions should be closed, with support at 13750 and resistance at 13970 [12]. 3.2.7 Eggs - The 2508 contract opens low and closes high, with the market speculating on the decline in summer egg - laying rate. However, the high inventory and cautious purchasing by traders limit the rebound space. Technically, short - positions should be closed, with support at 3500 and resistance at 3574 [14]. 3.2.8 Corn - The 2509 contract fluctuates narrowly due to the lack of market news. Supply is tight, but there are also factors suppressing the price. A short - term trading strategy is recommended, with support at 2370 and resistance at 2386 [17]. 3.2.9 Red Dates - The 2509 contract falls from a high level. High - temperature weather may reduce the yield, but it is the off - season, and the inventory increases slightly. Technically, there is a callback pressure, and long - positions should be reduced, with support at 9500 and resistance at 9700 [18][20]. 3.2.10 Apples - The 2510 contract fluctuates. The previous production reduction expectation fails, and the low inventory supports the price, but the consumption is affected by substitute fruits. A short - term trading strategy is recommended, with support at 7646 and resistance at 7780 [21].