宝城期货原油早报-20250701

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The short - term, medium - term, and intraday views of crude oil 2508 are oscillatory, oscillatory, and oscillatory and weak respectively, with an overall view of weak operation. The core logic is that there are differences between bulls and bears, and the crude oil market is oscillatory and weak [1]. - Due to the end of the conflict between Iran and Israel, the market's geopolitical trading logic has weakened, and the geopolitical premium of oil prices will further decline. After a sharp decline, the oil market has entered a stage of divergence between bulls and bears. It is expected that the domestic crude oil futures 2508 contract may maintain an oscillatory and weak trend on Tuesday [5]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalog Crude Oil 2508 Market Conditions - Short - term: Oscillatory [1] - Medium - term: Oscillatory [1] - Intraday: Oscillatory and weak [1] - Reference view: Weak operation [1] - Core logic: There are differences between bulls and bears, and the crude oil market is oscillatory and weak [1] Crude Oil (SC) Price Driving Logic - Intraday view: Oscillatory and weak [5] - Medium - term view: Oscillatory [5] - Reference view: Weak operation [5] - Core logic: The end of the conflict between Iran and Israel has weakened the geopolitical trading logic, and the geopolitical premium of oil prices will further decline. After a sharp decline, the oil market has entered a stage of divergence between bulls and bears. On Monday night, the domestic crude oil futures 2508 contract oscillated and stabilized, with the futures price rising slightly by 0.30% to 497.6 yuan/barrel [5]