制造业PMI回升,指数上涨
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-07-01 05:48
- Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The cancellation of the digital services tax by Canada to promote trade negotiations with the US led to a full - scale increase in the three major US stock indices. China's manufacturing PMI has rebounded for two consecutive months. Affected by pre - export rush, both supply and demand have improved, but it is still below the boom - bust line, and the economy is in the bottom - building stage. Benefiting from the simultaneous improvement of the domestic and overseas environments, the stock index is in the repair period after a short - term sharp rise [1][3]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro - economic Charts - In China, in June, the manufacturing, non - manufacturing, and composite PMIs were 49.7%, 50.5%, and 50.7% respectively, up 0.2, 0.2, and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. The PMIs of the equipment manufacturing, high - tech manufacturing, and consumer goods industries have been in the expansion range for two consecutive months. Overseas, Fed's Bostic still expects the Fed to cut interest rates once this year and three times next year [1]. 3.2 Spot Market Tracking Charts - A - share three major indices fluctuated and rebounded. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.59% to close at 3444.43 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.35%. In the industry, most sector indices rose, with national defense and military industry, media, communication, and electronics industries leading the gains. Only the banking, non - banking finance, and transportation industries closed down. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets decreased slightly to 1.5 trillion yuan. The three major US stock indices closed up, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.63% to 44094.77 points [1]. 3.3 Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - In the futures market, the basis trend was differentiated, and the discount of the near - month contracts of IC and IM deepened. In terms of trading volume and open interest, the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures decreased simultaneously [2].