Bank of China Securities·2025-07-01 08:29Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - New home transaction area increased on a month-on-month basis but decreased year-on-year, with a significant drop in the year-on-year rate of decline [1] - The inventory of new homes and the de-stocking cycle both decreased on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis [1] - The land market saw both volume and price increases, with a notable rise in the premium rate [1] - Domestic bond issuance by real estate companies decreased significantly, indicating tighter financing conditions [1] - The absolute return of the real estate sector increased, while the relative return compared to the CSI 300 also improved [1] Summary by Sections 1. Key City New Home Market, Second-hand Home Market, and Inventory Tracking - New home transaction area for 40 cities was 3.366 million square meters, up 37.0% month-on-month but down 25.7% year-on-year [1][18] - Second-hand home transaction area decreased by 2.7% month-on-month but saw a smaller year-on-year decline of 0.9% [1][18] - New home inventory area for 12 cities was 87.42 million square meters, down 0.3% month-on-month and down 16.3% year-on-year [1][45] 2. Land Market Tracking - Total land transaction area for 100 cities was 15.761 million square meters, up 47.9% month-on-month and up 25.6% year-on-year [1][14] - Total land transaction price reached 57.35 billion yuan, up 186.7% month-on-month and up 155.3% year-on-year [1][14] - The average floor price of land was 3,639 yuan per square meter, up 93.9% month-on-month and up 103.2% year-on-year [1][14] 3. Industry Policy Review - The report highlights ongoing government efforts to stabilize the real estate market through various supportive measures [1][6] 4. Sector Performance Review - The absolute return of the real estate sector was 3.1%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points from the previous week [1][15] - The sector's price-to-earnings ratio (PE) was 23.85X, up 0.68X from the previous week [1][15] 5. Company Announcements - The report includes a summary of key company announcements within the real estate sector for the week [1][15] 6. Bond Issuance Situation - The total bond issuance in the real estate sector was 4.79 billion yuan, down 43.0% month-on-month and down 37.1% year-on-year [1][15]