2025年公募REITs市场6月报：扩募新政出台，网下中签率新低-20250701

Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In June 2025, new policies for public offering REITs expansion were introduced, and the "first issuance + expansion" dual - wheel drive development pattern is expected to be established. The issuance of new REITs accelerated, with a half - year offline subscription yield of 2.54%. The first issuance of the first affordable rental housing REIT expansion was completed, and the predicted distribution rate of Lingang REIT after expansion is expected to increase. The index increase narrowed month - on - month, and the turnover rate continued to decline [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Important News: New Policies for Expansion Business Introduced, Three Types of Expansion Methods Defined - Policy promotion: On June 24, six departments including the central bank jointly issued a guidance to support the issuance of consumption infrastructure REITs. On June 27, the Shanghai Stock Exchange released and implemented new REITs expansion policies, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange will officially launch the non - directional expansion business function on June 30, with relevant details announced simultaneously [3]. - Market development: On June 5, the total market value of public offering REITs exceeded 200 billion yuan for the first time. The supply side expanded rapidly, and the market's scale and maturity increased. The stable dividend income and equity asset attributes of REITs attracted investors [3][6]. - Project progress: In June, cultural and tourism public offering REITs projects were intensively launched, and the first two data center public offering REITs were approved and started recruitment [6]. 2. First Issuance: Issuance Significantly Accelerated, Half - Year New - Stock Subscription Yield Reached 2.54% - Issuance speed: In June 2025, 5 REITs were issued, and the first two data center REITs started recruitment. From January to June, 10 REITs were issued, raising a total of 17.9 billion yuan [22]. - Offline subscription: In June, an average of 558 placement objects participated in the offline inquiry, with an average initial inquiry subscription multiple of 225 times and an average placement ratio of less than 0.5%. The offline placement ratio of CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT was only 0.38%, a record low [3]. - New - stock subscription yield: From January to June 2025, the offline subscription yield of 100 million yuan of REITs was 2.54%. The first - day trading of CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT and CICC China Greentown Commercial REIT both hit the daily limit [3][42]. - Queuing projects: As of June 30, there were 10 REITs projects in the queuing process [50]. 3. Expansion: First Issuance of the First Affordable Rental Housing REIT Expansion, Predicted Increase in Distribution Rate of Lingang REIT after Expansion - First affordable rental housing REIT expansion: On June 16, 2025, the expansion of Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT was issued, with an expansion issue price of 4.220 yuan per share, a 9.72% premium compared to the benchmark price and a 5.0% discount compared to the closing price on the issue day [54]. - Lingang REIT prediction: Guojun Lingang Industrial Park REIT is expected to increase its distribution rate to 4.10% in 2025 after expansion. The expansion asset, Kangqiao Project, has high occupancy rates, stable rent growth, and strong customer stickiness [55][58]. - Queuing projects: Currently, 6 REITs expansion projects are in the queuing process, and Bosera Merchants Shekou Industrial Park REIT announced its plan to apply for a second expansion [54]. 4. Trading: Index Increase Narrowed Month - on - Month, Turnover Rate Continued to Decline - Index performance: In June, the China Securities REITs (closing) index and the China Securities REITs total return index increased by 1.1%/1.4% respectively, with a narrowed increase compared to the previous month and underperformed the CSI 300 index. From January to June, they increased by 10.9%/13.6% respectively, outperforming the CSI 300 index and the ChinaBond Treasury Bond Total Wealth (7 - 10 years) index [62]. - Asset performance: In June, 74% of REITs' net values increased, with an average increase of 2.37%. Storage and logistics REITs increased by 20% from January to June. The ecological and environmental protection sector regained its upward trend [63][64]. - Turnover rate: The turnover rate has been declining for 4 consecutive months, dropping to an average of 0.77% in June [69]. - Dividend rate: As of June 30, 2025, the average TTM dividend rates of equity - type and franchise - type REITs were 2.78%/6.21% respectively. There was significant differentiation among franchise - type REITs [75]. - Valuation: For franchise - type REITs, the P/FFO of transportation REITs was at the 70.6% historical percentile on average, and some energy REITs had negative ChinaBond IRRs. For equity - type REITs, the valuation of affordable rental housing REITs reached the top [77][81].