Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-07-01 11:16Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - Since September 2024, the central government's clear requirement has been to "stabilize the real estate market and the stock market." The emphasis on building quality housing and high-quality residential areas is expected to lead to a development wave for high-quality residential properties [5][49] - The report suggests focusing on real estate companies with strong land acquisition capabilities and product strength in core cities, as well as second-hand housing intermediaries and property management companies [5] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.9%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.7%, the ChiNext Index by 5.7%, and the CSI 300 by 2.0%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) increased by 3.1% [5][8] - The top five stocks in terms of increase were: Quzhou Development (+15.5%), Huayuan Holdings (+13.8%), Zhujiang Shares (+10.1%), New Huangpu (+10.1%), and ST Shuyuan (+9.6%) [5][8] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of June 21-27, 2025, 42 key cities saw a total new housing transaction of 3.16 million square meters, a 34.1% increase from the previous week, but a 31.7% decrease year-on-year [15] - For June 2025, the total new housing transaction in 42 key cities was 9.13 million square meters, a 12.9% increase month-on-month but a 12.3% decrease year-on-year [19] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week of June 21-27, 2025, 21 key cities recorded a total second-hand housing transaction of 2.16 million square meters, a 3.0% increase from the previous week, but a 10.4% decrease year-on-year [32] - For June 2025, the total second-hand housing transaction in 21 key cities was 7.97 million square meters, a 5.8% increase month-on-month and a 2.6% decrease year-on-year [36] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasized the need for new technologies and materials to create safe, comfortable, green, and smart housing [46] - Several cities, including Hangzhou, Jinan, and Tianjin, have adjusted their housing provident fund policies to enhance support for homebuyers [46] Company Announcements - Poly Developments announced a green asset-backed securities plan with a priority asset scale of 1.354 billion yuan and a 2.50% interest rate over 18 years [49] - China Overseas Development plans to list its project in Foshan through a public infrastructure securities investment fund, expecting to raise 1.355 billion yuan [49]