冠通期货资讯早间报-20250702

Report Investment Rating The document does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints The report provides a comprehensive overview of the overnight market trends, important macro - economic news, and developments in various financial sectors including futures, stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange. It also presents data on different industries such as manufacturing, real estate, and energy, along with policy updates and market expectations. Summary by Category Overnight Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.28% at $3349.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.20% at $36.25 per ounce [2][46] - International oil prices strengthened slightly, with the US oil main contract up 0.65% at $65.53 per barrel and Brent crude main contract up 0.69% at $67.20 per barrel [3][46] - Most London base metals declined, except LME copper which rose 0.75% to $9943.00 per ton [4][46] - Most CBOT agricultural product futures rose, with wheat up 2.14% and soybeans up 0.05%, while corn fell 0.86% [4] - Domestic futures were mixed, with caustic soda up over 2% and rebar up nearly 1%, while sugar, PX, and PTA fell over 1% [4] Macro - economic News - Trump's trade officials are seeking smaller - scale trade deals to avoid tariff re - imposition [6] - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in June was 50.4, up 2.1 points from May and back above the critical point [6] - China will promote the construction of a unified national market and address low - price disorderly competition [6] - China's heavy - truck sales in June were about 92,000, up 4% from May and 29% from last year [6] - Trump doubts a trade deal with Japan by July 9 [7] - Fed Chair Powell leaves the door open for July rate - cut decision [7][15][37] Energy and Chemical Futures - Domestic airlines will raise fuel surcharges from July 5 [10] - China raised domestic gasoline and diesel prices on July 1 [10][30] - Some domestic photovoltaic glass manufacturers plan to cut production in July [10] Metal Futures - China's electrolytic copper production in June decreased 0.3% month - on - month but increased 12.93% year - on - year, and is expected to rise in July [12] - HSBC raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $3125 per ounce [13] Black - series Futures - China's 47 - port imported iron ore inventory decreased by 28.74 tons on July 1 compared to the previous Monday [17] - Australian and Brazilian major port iron ore inventory decreased slightly in late June [17] Agricultural Product Futures - China's major oil mills' soybean crushing and bean - meal output are expected to remain high in July, and bean - meal inventory may rise [19] - Malaysia's palm oil production decreased in June [19] - China's national soybean, corn, and palm oil export and production forecasts are updated [22] - ICE raw sugar July contract delivery volume was the lowest since 2014 [23] - US soybean crushing and soybean oil production increased in May [23] Financial Markets Stocks - A - shares showed a mixed trend on Tuesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.39% [25] - Hong Kong stocks were closed on Tuesday [26] - Northeast Securities' gold - stock portfolio led with a 45.45% return in H1 [27] - IPO acceptance reached a peak in June, with the Beijing Stock Exchange leading [28] - Heyuan Biotech's IPO application was approved on the Science and Technology Innovation Board [28] - Analysts are optimistic about A - shares' medium - to - long - term prospects and the continuation of the Hong Kong IPO boom [29] International Stocks - US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow up 0.91% and the S&P 500 down 0.11% [43] - European stocks also closed mixed, with the German DAX down 0.99% and the UK FTSE 100 up 0.28% [43] - The S&P 500 is expected to rise in July but may weaken in August [45] - Hedge funds made large net purchases of US bank stocks last week [45] Bonds - Local government bond issuance increased by about 57.2% in H1 compared to the same period in 2024 [48] - The domestic bond market was generally positive, with most yields of major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market falling [49] - US Treasury yields mostly rose, affected by employment and manufacturing data [49] - Japan's 10 - year government bond auction was relatively strong [50] Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on Tuesday [51] - The euro - dollar exchange rate is a concern for policymakers if it breaks above 1.2 [51] - The US dollar index fell 0.13% on Tuesday [53] Industry News - New energy vehicle sales in June showed a mixed performance, with some brands hitting new highs and others declining [32] - China's National Healthcare Security Administration is adjusting the medical insurance drug catalog and supporting innovative drugs [32] - China's film box office and attendance increased in H1 2025 [33] - Real estate investment by top 100 developers increased in H1, and Beijing's second - hand housing transactions rose [33][34] - Shanghai will subsidize the replacement of old electric bicycles [35] International News - Trump is tough on trade negotiations with Japan and the EU [37] - The EU and the US are in the final stage of trade - deal negotiations [37] - Eurozone inflation reached the ECB's target in June, and the ECB may slow down rate - cuts [37][39] - US manufacturing PMI improved but remained in contraction in June [38] - US job openings increased in May [39] - South Korea may tax dividend income separately [41] - Argentina will appeal a court ruling on its national oil company [42]